Atlanta @ Washington Picks & Props

ATL vs WAS Picks

MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Hurston Waldrep logo Hurston Waldrep o15.5 Outs Recorded (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Hurston Waldrep is coming off his worst performance of the year, surrendering eight runs to the Astros. The 23-year-old had been sensational before that, posting a 1.33 ERA with an OBA of .191 through his first seven starts and logging more than 15.5 outs in six of those outings. Waldrep came into this year as the Braves No. 2 prospect and has electric stuff, including a heater that averages 96 mph and a dominant splitter. He should bounce back against a Nationals squad that has been brutal at the plate, ranking 25th in the majors in OPS (.669) over the last 30 days. There will also be an 11 mph breeze blowing towards the infield at Nationals Park tonight.

Total RBIs
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage today.. Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year, compiling a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .035 gap.. This year, Dylan Crews's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 80th percentile at 94.5 mph.
Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Hurston Waldrep.. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Paul DeJong logo
Paul DeJong o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game.. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 15.3% to 20%.. This year, Paul DeJong's 11.7% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.
Total RBIs
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.. As it relates to plate discipline, Marcell Ozuna's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-101)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Riley Adams logo
Riley Adams o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-170)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Riley Adams has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Riley Adams will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Riley Adams has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 98.7-mph over the past 14 days.. Riley Adams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 49.3% on the season to 62.5% in the past two weeks.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.215) may lead us to conclude that Riley Adams has suffered from bad luck this year with his .194 actual batting average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+124)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage today.. Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year, compiling a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .035 gap.. This year, Dylan Crews's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 80th percentile at 94.5 mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-113)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Hurston Waldrep.. Josh Bell has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
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ATL vs WAS Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

62% picking Atlanta

62%
38%

Total PicksATL 327, WAS 197

Moneyline
ATL
WAS
Total

61% picking Atlanta vs Washington to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksATL 193, WAS 122

Total
Over
Under

ATL vs WAS Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The 10th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Robert Hassell III will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Robert Hassell III will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Robert Hassell III has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.8% seasonal rate to 19% in the last 14 days.

Robert Hassell III logo

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The 10th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Robert Hassell III will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Robert Hassell III will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Robert Hassell III has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.8% seasonal rate to 19% in the last 14 days.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Dylan Crews has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage today. Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year, compiling a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .035 gap. This year, Dylan Crews's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 80th percentile at 94.5 mph.

Dylan Crews logo

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Dylan Crews has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage today. Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year, compiling a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .035 gap. This year, Dylan Crews's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 80th percentile at 94.5 mph.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Hurston Waldrep. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Hurston Waldrep. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brady House has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage today. Brady House has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 10% over the past week. Brady House has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93.3-mph in the past two weeks.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brady House has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage today. Brady House has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 10% over the past week. Brady House has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93.3-mph in the past two weeks.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Brad Lord in today's matchup. Michael Harris II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Michael Harris II has been unlucky this year, notching a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .044 discrepancy.

Michael Harris II logo

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Brad Lord in today's matchup. Michael Harris II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Michael Harris II has been unlucky this year, notching a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .044 discrepancy.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. As it relates to plate discipline, Marcell Ozuna's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

Marcell Ozuna logo

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. As it relates to plate discipline, Marcell Ozuna's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia Jr.
L. Garcia Jr.
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an edge today. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Luis Garcia Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Luis Garcia Jr. logo

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an edge today. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Luis Garcia Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Daylen Lile will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup. Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Daylen Lile will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup. Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Jurickson Profar
J. Profar
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Posting a .357 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jurickson Profar is positioned in the 86th percentile.

Jurickson Profar logo

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Posting a .357 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jurickson Profar is positioned in the 86th percentile.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Riley Adams has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Riley Adams will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Riley Adams has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 98.7-mph over the past 14 days. Riley Adams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 49.3% on the season to 62.5% in the past two weeks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.215) may lead us to conclude that Riley Adams has suffered from bad luck this year with his .194 actual batting average.

Riley Adams logo

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Riley Adams has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Riley Adams will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Riley Adams has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 98.7-mph over the past 14 days. Riley Adams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 49.3% on the season to 62.5% in the past two weeks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.215) may lead us to conclude that Riley Adams has suffered from bad luck this year with his .194 actual batting average.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Over the last 14 days, Ozzie Albies has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 4.8% to 9.8%. Ozzie Albies's launch angle of late (25.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 19.1° seasonal mark.

Ozzie Albies logo

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Over the last 14 days, Ozzie Albies has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 4.8% to 9.8%. Ozzie Albies's launch angle of late (25.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 19.1° seasonal mark.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ha-Seong Kim
H. Kim
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Ha-seong Kim pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Ha-seong Kim's launch angle of late (18.3° over the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 14.7° seasonal mark. As it relates to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.53 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 94th percentile.

Ha-Seong Kim logo

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ha-seong Kim pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Ha-seong Kim's launch angle of late (18.3° over the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 14.7° seasonal mark. As it relates to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.53 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 94th percentile.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nacho Alvarez Jr.
N. Alvarez Jr.
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Nacho Alvarez Jr. has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 84.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 82.1-mph. Over the last 7 days, Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.7%.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. logo

Nacho Alvarez Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Nacho Alvarez Jr. has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 84.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 82.1-mph. Over the last 7 days, Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.7%.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Washington

Paul DeJong
P. DeJong
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Paul DeJong's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.6% up to 40%. Paul DeJong has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph average. In the past week, Paul DeJong's 100% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43%.

Paul DeJong logo

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Paul DeJong's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.6% up to 40%. Paul DeJong has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph average. In the past week, Paul DeJong's 100% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43%.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ronald Acuna Jr.
R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in baseball. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. The Barrel% of Ronald Acuna Jr. has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.5% last year to 15.8% this year.

Ronald Acuna Jr. logo

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in baseball. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. The Barrel% of Ronald Acuna Jr. has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.5% last year to 15.8% this year.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand in today's game. Matt Olson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Matt Olson logo

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand in today's game. Matt Olson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an advantage in today's matchup. Drake Baldwin has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Drake Baldwin logo

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an advantage in today's matchup. Drake Baldwin has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Atlanta Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dotlife162 3-7-0 +19420
2 nobrainer 9-1-0 +15395
3 FAMCOLLECTOR 5-5-0 +12920
4 CigarSt22 6-4-0 +11461
5 parking 7-2-1 +11165
6 Enelra18 5-5-0 +10845
7 tenandsix 5-5-0 +10186
8 Ace_Of_Spades 4-6-0 +9730
9 Whiteyr 6-4-0 +9475
10 vlkvlk2012 3-7-0 +9235
All Braves Money Leaders

Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders
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