Toronto @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Over the past 7 days, Ernie Clement has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 18.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 13°. In notching a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Ernie Clement has performed in the 79th percentile. Ernie Clement has recorded a .281 batting average this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Josh Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Josh Lowe will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (12.7°) is a significant increase over his 9.2° mark last year.

Myles Straw's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Myles Straw has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Myles Straw has recorded a .280 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Myles Straw is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.7% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Checking in at the 94th percentile, Jake Mangum has posted a .344 BABIP this year.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Robert Seymour will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Robert Seymour will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Hunter Feduccia will have an edge in today's game. Hunter Feduccia will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Hunter Feduccia's 73.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.9%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Feduccia has had some very poor luck this year. His .228 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .288.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today. Junior Caminero has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 24.4% in the past two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Davis Schneider has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last season's 93.1-mph average. Last season, Davis Schneider had an average launch angle of 23.4° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 30.1°. Davis Schneider has compiled a .346 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Nathan Lukes is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Nathan Lukes will have the upper hand today. Nathan Lukes will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Brandon Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph to 94.9-mph over the past week. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .301 BA is a good deal lower than his .325 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his batting average skill, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 18th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Chandler Simpson will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Chandler Simpson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph figure.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Tristan Gray will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios today. Tristan Gray pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Tristan Gray will hold that advantage today. Tristan Gray has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .266 rate is a good deal lower than his .372 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. George Springer has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last year to 16.6% this year. George Springer has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last season's 93.2-mph mark.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Richie Palacios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Richie Palacios pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Richie Palacios will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Richie Palacios has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .307 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Carson Williams will hold that advantage today. Carson Williams has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days. Carson Williams's launch angle of late (36.7° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 7° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in the majors when estimating his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Daulton Varsho has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.4% rate last year to 17% this season.

Addison Barger is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage today. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.