Toronto @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Carson Williams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Carson Williams has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week. Compared to his seasonal average of 7°, Carson Williams has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 36.7° angle in the past week.

When estimating his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Yandy Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 92.7-mph EV. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .383 rate is considerably lower than his .407 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), George Springer ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. George Springer has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last year to 16.2% this year. This season, George Springer has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.7 mph compared to last year's 93.2 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Ernie Clement has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.3-mph average to last year's 85.3-mph figure. Over the last week, Ernie Clement has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 18.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 13°. Ernie Clement has posted a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Joe Boyle throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today's game. Daulton Varsho has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Daulton Varsho has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last year to 17.4% this season.

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Boyle in today's game. Andres Gimenez has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP. Last year, Andres Gimenez had an average launch angle of 9.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 12.7°.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Junior Caminero has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14% seasonal rate to 24.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 15th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average talent. Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Trey Yesavage throws from, Chandler Simpson will have an edge in today's game. Chandler Simpson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Davis Schneider has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last season's 93.1-mph average. Davis Schneider's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (30.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 23.4° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Josh Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Josh Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trey Yesavage today. Josh Lowe will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trey Yesavage in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage over Joe Boyle in today's matchup. Nathan Lukes has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Joe Boyle throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Addison Barger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Jake Mangum will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Grading out in the 95th percentile, Jake Mangum sits with a .345 BABIP this year.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Trey Yesavage throws from, Richie Palacios will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Richie Palacios will hold that advantage in today's game. Richie Palacios has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .307 mark is a good deal lower than his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Trey Yesavage throws from, Hunter Feduccia will have an advantage in today's game. Hunter Feduccia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Hunter Feduccia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 46.9% on the season to 73.3% over the past 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.288) suggests that Hunter Feduccia has been unlucky this year with his .228 actual wOBA.