New York @ Boston Picks & Props

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Fenway Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ben Rice has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season's 90-mph figure. Ben Rice has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 97.1-mph.

Amed Rosario's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Amed Rosario will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Trent Grisham has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 97.7-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Fenway Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Last year, Jazz Chisholm Jr. had an average launch angle of 13.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 22.5°. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 27.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 22.5°.

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams in action today.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Caballero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Jose Caballero has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.3-mph average to last season's 83.5-mph average. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 43.9% to 49.2%.

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Fenway Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Will Warren in today's matchup... and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split. Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams in action today. Nick Sogard will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Nick Sogard's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 17.4% on the season to 23.5% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams in action today. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cody Bellinger's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (20.2° over the past week) is considerably better than his 15.6° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Fenway Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences in the league. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Will Warren in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams in action today.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Carlos Narvaez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams in action today. Carlos Narvaez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Carlos Narvaez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 92.4-mph.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand in today's game. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 13th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Romy Gonzalez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Paul Goldschmidt will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet today. Paul Goldschmidt has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt's launch angle this year (16.4°) is significantly better than his 12.8° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trevor Story has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams in action today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have an edge today. Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams in action today. Rob Refsnyder will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 11th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability. Austin Slater is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Austin Slater will have an edge in today's matchup. Austin Slater hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ryan McMahon has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jasson Dominguez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.