Detroit @ Miami Picks & Props

Parker Meadows is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge today. Parker Meadows hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Parker Meadows has suffered from bad luck this year. His .286 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .318.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Compared to last season, Gleyber Torres has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.6% to 19.7% this season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Gleyber Torres's 29% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.7%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.359) provides evidence that Gleyber Torres has experienced some negative variance this year with his .336 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Kerry Carpenter will have the handedness advantage against Adam Mazur in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Kerry Carpenter has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.9% to 20%. Over the last two weeks, Kerry Carpenter's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.8-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Javier Sanoja has had bad variance on his side this year. His .236 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280.

Eric Wagaman's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Eric Wagaman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Spencer Torkelson's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (33.4° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 20.9° seasonal figure. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 23.6%.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his better side against Adam Mazur in today's matchup. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 20.4%. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 48.6% on the season to 60% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 15th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Adam Mazur in today's game. Riley Greene's launch angle of late (31.4° in the past week's worth of games) is significantly higher than his 14.5° seasonal angle. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 17.9% to 21.4%.

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Liam Hicks's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.6% up to 12.5%.

Otto Lopez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .302 rate is deflated compared to his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Agustin Ramirez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Agustin Ramirez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .230 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .262.

Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Victor Mesa will have an edge in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Victor Mesa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past week, Victor Mesa has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power). Victor Mesa has been lifting the ball well lately, compiling a 26.7° launch angle over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. In the last week, Dillon Dingler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 109-mph recently. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 52.5% on the season to 70% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, Dillon Dingler grades out in the 92nd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .287.

Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Heriberto Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Heriberto Hernandez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.5-mph mark.

Colt Keith's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Mazur in today's game. Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Last year, Colt Keith had an average launch angle of 11.9° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 14.9°. Colt Keith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 16.7% on the season to 24% over the past two weeks.

Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Adam Mazur today. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 44.5% to 49.9%. Sporting a .322 BABIP this year, Zach McKinstry finds himself in the 81st percentile.

Jakob Marsee is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Jakob Marsee will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage in today's game. Jakob Marsee is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (58.3% rate this year).

Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Troy Johnston will have an advantage in today's matchup. Troy Johnston hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Troy Johnston will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.