New York @ Boston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Ryan McMahon will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Ryan McMahon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 93.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Jasson Dominguez's footspeed has increased this season. His 28.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.6 ft/sec now.

The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Austin Wells will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Austin Wells has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Austin Wells tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. In the last week's worth of games, Austin Wells's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 20%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Ben Rice will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Connor Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Cody Bellinger's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Giancarlo Stanton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.4-mph over the course of the season to 108.9-mph in recent games.

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 49.7% this season. Over the last 7 days, Jose Caballero's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.7%. Grading out in the 78th percentile, Jose Caballero sports a .319 BABIP this year.

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Max Fried. Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Nick Sogard will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried today. Romy Gonzalez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Aaron Judge generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Nate Eaton will have an advantage in today's matchup. Nate Eaton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nate Eaton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trevor Story will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried today. Trevor Story has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have an advantage in today's game. Carlos Narvaez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.