Detroit @ Miami Picks & Props

DET vs MIA Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Spencer Torkelson's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (28° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 20.9° seasonal mark.. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17.6% to 23.6%.. Using Statcast metrics, Spencer Torkelson is in the 85th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 27.100.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 14th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup.. Riley Greene has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk struggles to strike batters out (18th percentile K%) — great news for Greene.. Riley Greene's launch angle recently (34.8° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his 14.5° seasonal angle.
Total RBIs
Wenceel Perez logo
Wenceel Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his good side against Janson Junk in today's game.. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 20.4%.. Over the last two weeks, Wenceel Perez's 60.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.6%.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Spencer Torkelson's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (28° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 20.9° seasonal mark.. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17.6% to 23.6%.. Using Statcast metrics, Spencer Torkelson is in the 85th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 27.100.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Victor Mesa Jr. logo
Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-163)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Victor Mesa will have an edge in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Victor Mesa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Victor Mesa has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .355.. Over the past 7 days, Victor Mesa has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power).
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DET vs MIA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

71% picking Detroit vs Miami to go Over

71%
29%

Total PicksDET 276, MIA 115

Total
Over
Under

DET vs MIA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Wenceel Perez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Wenceel Perez
W. Perez
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his good side against Janson Junk in today's game. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 20.4%. Over the last two weeks, Wenceel Perez's 60.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.6%.

Wenceel Perez logo

Wenceel Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his good side against Janson Junk in today's game. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 20.4%. Over the last two weeks, Wenceel Perez's 60.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.6%.

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Javier Sanoja will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Javier Sanoja has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 86.4-mph.

Javier Sanoja logo

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Javier Sanoja will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Javier Sanoja has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 86.4-mph.

Parker Meadows Total Hits Props • Detroit

Parker Meadows
P. Meadows
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Parker Meadows has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Parker Meadows will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk today. Parker Meadows hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the last 7 days, Parker Meadows's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph recently. Over the last 7 days, Parker Meadows's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

Parker Meadows logo

Parker Meadows

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Parker Meadows has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Parker Meadows will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk today. Parker Meadows hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the last 7 days, Parker Meadows's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph recently. Over the last 7 days, Parker Meadows's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

Kerry Carpenter
K. Carpenter
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand today. Kerry Carpenter has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 13.1% seasonal rate to 19% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the past 14 days, Kerry Carpenter's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.8-mph recently.

Kerry Carpenter logo

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand today. Kerry Carpenter has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 13.1% seasonal rate to 19% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the past 14 days, Kerry Carpenter's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.8-mph recently.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

Colt Keith
C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage against Janson Junk today. Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Colt Keith has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph EV. Colt Keith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 16.9% on the season to 26.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Colt Keith logo

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage against Janson Junk today. Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Colt Keith has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph EV. Colt Keith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 16.9% on the season to 26.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Agustin Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Agustin Ramirez has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .228 BA is considerably lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Agustin Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Agustin Ramirez has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .228 BA is considerably lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit

Dillon Dingler
D. Dingler
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Dillon Dingler has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.5% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last week. Over the last 7 days, Dillon Dingler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 103.6-mph in recent games. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Dillon Dingler's 70.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.5%.

Dillon Dingler logo

Dillon Dingler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Dillon Dingler has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.5% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last week. Over the last 7 days, Dillon Dingler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 103.6-mph in recent games. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Dillon Dingler's 70.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.5%.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 44.5% to 50%. Zach McKinstry has notched a .325 BABIP this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Zach McKinstry logo

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 44.5% to 50%. Zach McKinstry has notched a .325 BABIP this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Victor Mesa Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami

Victor Mesa Jr.
V. Mesa Jr.
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Victor Mesa will have an edge in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Victor Mesa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Victor Mesa has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .355. Over the past 7 days, Victor Mesa has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power).

Victor Mesa Jr. logo

Victor Mesa Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Victor Mesa will have an edge in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Victor Mesa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Victor Mesa has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .355. Over the past 7 days, Victor Mesa has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power).

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 14th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup. Riley Greene's launch angle recently (34.8° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his 14.5° seasonal angle. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 17.9% to 21.5%.

Riley Greene logo

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 14th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup. Riley Greene's launch angle recently (34.8° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his 14.5° seasonal angle. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 17.9% to 21.5%.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Xavier Edwards's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Charlie Morton in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Xavier Edwards will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Xavier Edwards's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Charlie Morton in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Xavier Edwards will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 19.4% on the season to 23.3% over the last 14 days. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .337 rate is a good deal lower than his .359 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Gleyber Torres has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 98th percentile with a 1.09 K/BB rate.

Gleyber Torres logo

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 19.4% on the season to 23.3% over the last 14 days. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .337 rate is a good deal lower than his .359 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Gleyber Torres has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 98th percentile with a 1.09 K/BB rate.

Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami

Liam Hicks
L. Hicks
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Liam Hicks will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Liam Hicks has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 3.6% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week's worth of games.

Liam Hicks logo

Liam Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Liam Hicks will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Liam Hicks has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 3.6% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week's worth of games.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Spencer Torkelson's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (28° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 20.9° seasonal mark. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17.6% to 23.6%.

Spencer Torkelson logo

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Spencer Torkelson's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (28° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 20.9° seasonal mark. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17.6% to 23.6%.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 93.3-mph in the past 14 days. In the past two weeks, Heriberto Hernandez's 45.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.7%.

Heriberto Hernandez logo

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 93.3-mph in the past 14 days. In the past two weeks, Heriberto Hernandez's 45.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.7%.

Jakob Marsee Total Hits Props • Miami

Jakob Marsee
J. Marsee
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Jakob Marsee will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Jakob Marsee ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (59.8% rate this year).

Jakob Marsee logo

Jakob Marsee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Jakob Marsee will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Jakob Marsee ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (59.8% rate this year).

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game. Otto Lopez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (11.2°) is considerably better than his 7.9° figure last season.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game. Otto Lopez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (11.2°) is considerably better than his 7.9° figure last season.

Troy Johnston Total Hits Props • Miami

Troy Johnston
T. Johnston
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Troy Johnston will have the upper hand in today's game. Troy Johnston hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Troy Johnston has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .283 mark is a good deal lower than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Troy Johnston logo

Troy Johnston

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Troy Johnston will have the upper hand in today's game. Troy Johnston hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Troy Johnston has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .283 mark is a good deal lower than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

Jake Rogers
J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.48
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jake Rogers has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Detroit Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 salgundy 2-8-0 +20490
2 PaPe454 8-2-0 +19591
3 WiNNipeg1973 6-4-0 +18000
4 vlkvlk2012 6-4-0 +16650
5 redwingfanattic 4-6-0 +16615
6 unbuckle 7-3-0 +16170
7 greekbanker 1-9-0 +15215
8 jakringle 6-4-0 +15215
9 Brayy_Wyatt 4-6-0 +15125
10 DenverFlash 7-3-0 +15069
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Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders
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