Milwaukee @ Texas Picks & Props

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage today. Sporting a 1.71 K/BB rate this year, Josh Smith has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 79th percentile.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Cody Freeman will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Josh Jung has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 15.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. In the past week's worth of games, Josh Jung's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph of late.

Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Jackson Chourio has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Jackson Chourio has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 93.6-mph in the last two weeks.

Michael Helman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Michael Helman has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Brice Turang has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 87-mph figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Wyatt Langford has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.5% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past week's worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Wyatt Langford has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.3° figure over the past 14 days.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Over the last 14 days, Christian Yelich has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.7% to 20%.

Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Isaac Collins's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 45.7% on the season to 64% over the past two weeks. In notching a .354 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Isaac Collins is ranked in the 84th percentile. Grading out in the 92nd percentile, Isaac Collins has posted a .339 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. William Contreras is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Posting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year, William Contreras has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Caleb Durbin has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph. In terms of plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Burger has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 13.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jake Burger has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Sal Frelick will have an edge today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Sal Frelick has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 85.5-mph average to last season's 83.3-mph mark.

Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Alejandro Osuna will hold that advantage in today's game. Alejandro Osuna has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 91.5-mph. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alejandro Osuna has experienced some negative variance this year. His .254 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. This season, Danny Jansen has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.8 mph compared to last year's 90.5 mph mark. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (24.9°) is considerably higher than his 21.6° angle last season.

Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. In the last two weeks, Blake Perkins's 32% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Jake Bauers has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph figure. Jake Bauers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.9-mph figure.

Andrew Vaughn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Andrew Vaughn has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 96.5-mph over the last week. Andrew Vaughn has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last season's 92.1-mph EV. Over the past 7 days, Andrew Vaughn's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.4%.

Kyle Higashioka will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Joc Pederson has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 21.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 13°. Joc Pederson has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .177 rate is a good deal lower than his .212 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.