Houston @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Garcia throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand today. Andres Gimenez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (13°) is significantly better than his 9.2° figure last year.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Bieber today. Jesus Sanchez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Shane Bieber. Victor Caratini hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Victor Caratini has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 93.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. Victor Caratini has put up a .277 batting average this year, placing in the 85th percentile.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Shane Bieber in today's matchup. Yordan Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Yordan Alvarez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.5% seasonal rate to 21.2% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 12.1% to 19.4%. In terms of plate discipline, Mauricio Dubon's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average ability. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .383 figure is considerably lower than his .407 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 19th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average skill. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Jeremy Pena has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.8% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last week. Over the last week, Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Jose Altuve's launch angle this year (17.3°) is considerably better than his 14° figure last season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jose Altuve has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 24° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.7°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 5th-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average talent. Bo Bichette is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Bo Bichette has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.5% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last 7 days.

Carlos Correa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Despite posting a .316 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has suffered from bad luck given the .016 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332. Utilizing Statcast data, Carlos Correa is in the 90th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .283.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Walker's true offensive ability to be a .331, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .024 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .307 wOBA.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Luis Garcia today. Addison Barger will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Addison Barger has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph average. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.343) provides evidence that Addison Barger has suffered from bad luck this year with his .323 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ernie Clement has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 20.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.4°. Ernie Clement has posted a .271 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Luis Garcia throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an edge today. Extreme groundball batters like Nathan Lukes are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Garcia.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. George Springer has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last year to 16.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jake Meyers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 44.4% to 50.6%. Ranking in the 99th percentile, Jake Meyers has put up a .372 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Yainer Diaz has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.3% to 13.8%. Yainer Diaz has been unlucky this year, notching a .296 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .033 deviation.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past week.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Garcia in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 6.4% rate last season to 17.9% this season.