Cincinnati @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Jake Cronenworth may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Ryan O'Hearn has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 14% to 20.9%. This year, Tyler Stephenson's 12.2% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers. Tyler Stephenson's 94.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Spencer Steer's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (16.9°) is significantly better than his 11.5° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Matt McLain hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Matt McLain has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 13.6% over the last two weeks. Matt McLain has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 92.8-mph in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 4th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average ability. Luis Arraez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Yu Darvish in today's matchup. Elly De La Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.5-mph. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 7.5% to 11.8%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke'Bryan Hayes's true offensive skill to be a .296, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .022 difference between that figure and his actual .274 wOBA.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, Gavin Sheets ranks in the 77th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .342.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Manny Machado will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jose Iglesias will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Iglesias's true offensive talent to be a .284, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .027 deviation between that mark and his actual .257 wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Trevino's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.5% up to 14.3%. Jose Trevino has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 93.2-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Noelvi Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Noelvi Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Noelvi Marte has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last season's 87-mph mark.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge in today's game. Over the past two weeks, TJ Friedl's 58.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.8%. Sporting a 1.46 K/BB rate this year, TJ Friedl has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 90th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Ramon Laureano will have an edge today.

Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Austin Hays has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week. Austin Hays has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 93.2-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Freddy Fermin will have an edge in today's game. Freddy Fermin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Freddy Fermin will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Freddy Fermin's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 25%.