Boston @ Arizona Picks & Props

BOS vs AZ Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

This is a bounce-back spot for Boston, and Red Sox starter Brayan Bello has been excellent all season with a 3.07 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. He also sports even better 2.85 and 1.16 marks on the highway, and I particularly value that Bello has only allowed more than three earned runs in two games all season.

Total Home Runs
Alex Bregman logo Alex Bregman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

Despite a lack of home runs recently, Bregman’s analytics remain strong. This season, he ranks in the 60th percentile or higher in xSLG, average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate. Furthermore, he possesses a strong track record against Nelson. They’ve only squared off once prior to Sunday, but Bregman went 1-for-3 in that outing with that hit being a home run.

Total Home Runs
Trevor Story logo Trevor Story o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

Entering this matchup, Nelson ranks in the fifth percentile in average exit velocity and the 15th percentile in hard-hit rate. Subsequently, he has given up nine home runs across his past 10 starts. Boston’s Trevor Story could keep that trend going, considering he has homered four times over the past two weeks. 

Total RBIs
Rob Refsnyder logo
Rob Refsnyder o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.. Rob Refsnyder has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year's 89.5-mph figure.. In the past 7 days, Rob Refsnyder's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph recently.
Total RBIs
Adrian Del Castillo logo
Adrian Del Castillo o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Adrian Del Castillo is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Adrian Del Castillo will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Hitters such as Adrian Del Castillo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand today.
Total RBIs
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.
Total RBIs
Romy Gonzalez logo
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP ability, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.. Romy Gonzalez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last season's 92.7-mph average.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.
Outs Recorded
Brayan Bello logo
Brayan Bello u17.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Projection 16.2 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for batting average.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.. Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brayan Bello in today's matchup.. Brayan Bello's fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this year (94.6 mph) below where it was last year (95.7 mph).. Brayan Bello's 2161-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 20th percentile out of all SPs.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
David Hamilton logo
David Hamilton o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-169)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.. David Hamilton is quite athletic, ranking in the 93rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.2 ft/sec this year.
Outs Recorded
Ryne Nelson logo
Ryne Nelson u17.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
Projection 16.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for batting average.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.. Ryne Nelson has used his four-seam fastball 8.1% more often this season (64.1%) than he did last season (56%).. Ryne Nelson has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play this year with a .245 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.. Boston's 90.4-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the best in Major League Baseball: #3 overall.
Total Bases
Blaze Alexander logo
Blaze Alexander u1.5 Total Bases (-195)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Blaze Alexander is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Chase Field has the 10th-tallest fences in MLB.. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Blaze Alexander will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Blaze Alexander has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Typically, batters like Blaze Alexander who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brayan Bello.
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BOS vs AZ Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

60% picking Boston

60%
40%

Total PicksBOS 359, AZ 237

Moneyline
BOS
AZ
Moneyline

BOS vs AZ Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Wong's true offensive ability to be a .297, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .063 gap between that mark and his actual .234 wOBA. Placing in the 85th percentile, Connor Wong has posted a .320 BABIP since the start of last season.

Connor Wong logo

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Wong's true offensive ability to be a .297, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .063 gap between that mark and his actual .234 wOBA. Placing in the 85th percentile, Connor Wong has posted a .320 BABIP since the start of last season.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

Gabriel Moreno
G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Gabriel Moreno logo

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Adrian Del Castillo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Adrian Del Castillo
A. Del Castillo
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Adrian Del Castillo is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Adrian Del Castillo will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Adrian Del Castillo logo

Adrian Del Castillo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Adrian Del Castillo is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Adrian Del Castillo will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

David Hamilton
D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. David Hamilton is quite athletic, ranking in the 93rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.2 ft/sec this year.

David Hamilton logo

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. David Hamilton is quite athletic, ranking in the 93rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.2 ft/sec this year.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Jarren Duran logo

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in the majors. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Ketel Marte logo

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in the majors. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

Romy Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When estimating his BABIP ability, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Romy Gonzalez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last season's 92.7-mph average.

Romy Gonzalez logo

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his BABIP ability, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Romy Gonzalez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last season's 92.7-mph average.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Masataka Yoshida
M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Masataka Yoshida's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Masataka Yoshida logo

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Masataka Yoshida's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Alek Thomas will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alek Thomas logo

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Alek Thomas will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nate Eaton Total Hits Props • Boston

Nate Eaton
N. Eaton
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Nate Eaton has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 90-mph. Nate Eaton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 20.6% on the season to 33.3% in the last week.

Nate Eaton logo

Nate Eaton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Nate Eaton has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 90-mph. Nate Eaton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 20.6% on the season to 33.3% in the last week.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Rob Refsnyder has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year's 89.5-mph figure.

Rob Refsnyder logo

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Rob Refsnyder has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year's 89.5-mph figure.

Tyler Locklear Total Hits Props • Arizona

Tyler Locklear
T. Locklear
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Tyler Locklear's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Tyler Locklear will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Tyler Locklear logo

Tyler Locklear

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Tyler Locklear's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Tyler Locklear will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Ceddanne Rafaela's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 88.7-mph now compared to just 86.6-mph then.

Ceddanne Rafaela logo

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Ceddanne Rafaela's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 88.7-mph now compared to just 86.6-mph then.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Boston

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Nathaniel Lowe logo

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Geraldo Perdomo logo

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jake McCarthy
J. McCarthy
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Jake McCarthy logo

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Corbin Carroll logo

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Trevor Story logo

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Jordan Lawlar Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jordan Lawlar
J. Lawlar
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Lawlar in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Jordan Lawlar will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jordan Lawlar logo

Jordan Lawlar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Lawlar in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Jordan Lawlar will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Alex Bregman logo

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Blaze Alexander Total Hits Props • Arizona

Blaze Alexander
B. Alexander
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Blaze Alexander's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Blaze Alexander logo

Blaze Alexander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Blaze Alexander's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Carlos Narvaez logo

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Boston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dispnum1 5-5-0 +16630
2 stakay125 7-3-0 +16380
3 Jackson2399 6-4-0 +15369
4 regger22 8-2-0 +14785
5 Andrew333_ 7-3-0 +13995
6 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +13785
7 Shitman 8-2-0 +13440
8 Coakley 7-3-0 +12975
9 Sandsaver727 3-7-0 +12835
10 TheTotalMan 9-1-0 +12815
All Red Sox Money Leaders

Arizona Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 anya 7-3-0 +19170
2 PlusOdds 3-6-1 +17545
3 Bassboy7276 6-4-0 +15647
4 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13772
5 vitom 6-3-1 +13655
6 mccabecj 4-6-0 +13555
7 timstutler25 4-6-0 +12860
8 drizrazz 5-3-2 +12715
9 hoody 8-2-0 +12370
10 Brayy_Wyatt 5-5-0 +12265
All Diamondbacks Money Leaders
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