Los Angeles @ Baltimore Picks & Props

This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.7 mph compared to last year's 86.6 mph mark. Miguel Rojas's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.4°) is considerably higher than his 3.7° figure last year. Miguel Rojas has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 86th percentile with a 1.72 K/BB rate.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Clayton Kershaw in this game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Dylan Carlson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dylan Carlson has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph figure. Last season, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 19.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 23.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 15th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average skill. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mookie Betts has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 91.6-mph in the past week's worth of games. Mookie Betts's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 45% on the season to 65.8% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Colton Cowser will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Colton Cowser's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Teoscar Hernandez's true offensive ability to be a .338, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .030 difference between that mark and his actual .308 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Jackson Holliday will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Jackson Holliday's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 14.3%.

Emmanuel Rivera has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Emmanuel Rivera will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Emmanuel Rivera will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 19th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Jorge Mateo will have an edge today. Jorge Mateo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Jorge Mateo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Jorge Mateo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 9.7% to 20%.

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Jeremiah Jackson will have the handedness advantage over Clayton Kershaw today. Jeremiah Jackson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Jeremiah Jackson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an advantage today. Shohei Ohtani has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 100.5-mph.

Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand today. Despite posting a .154 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ben Rortvedt has experienced some negative variance given the .108 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .262.

Alex Call is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Alex Call has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Alex Call's launch angle in recent games (37° in the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 12.2° seasonal mark. In terms of plate discipline, Alex Call's talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.55 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 86th percentile. Grading out in the 79th percentile, Alex Call sits with a .320 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Coby Mayo will have an advantage today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Coby Mayo has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 90.5-mph. Coby Mayo's launch angle in recent games (26° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 21.1° seasonal figure.

Luis Vazquez will hold the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's matchup. Luis Vazquez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Luis Vazquez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Andy Pages's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Utilizing Statcast metrics, Andy Pages is in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .273.

Alex Jackson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Alex Jackson will have the upper hand today. Alex Jackson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Alex Jackson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his batting average, Enrique Hernandez has been unlucky this year. His .202 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .231.

Michael Conforto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Michael Conforto has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.229) may lead us to conclude that Michael Conforto has been unlucky this year with his .190 actual batting average.

Dylan Beavers has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Hyeseong Kim has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.