Cleveland @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Gabriel Arias has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11.6% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks. Over the past two weeks, Gabriel Arias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.7-mph over the course of the season to 106.7-mph lately.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rasmussen today. Daniel Schneemann has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days. In the past 7 days, Daniel Schneemann's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 103-mph lately. Daniel Schneemann has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .299 mark is deflated compared to his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Carson Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Parker Messick today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Carson Williams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Brayan Rocchio has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87-mph average to last year's 84.5-mph average. Brayan Rocchio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 37.7% to 47.3%. When it comes to his batting average, Brayan Rocchio has been unlucky this year. His .230 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.

Everson Pereira's BABIP skill is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Everson Pereira will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Everson Pereira will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Steven Kwan will have the upper hand in today's game. In the last week, Steven Kwan's 69.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.8%.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage in today's game. Bo Naylor has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV. Over the last 7 days, Bo Naylor's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) suggests that Bo Naylor has experienced some negative variance this year with his .178 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.6% seasonal rate to 13.6% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's game. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, Jake Mangum sports a .292 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Collin Kayfus in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Collin Kayfus will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game. In the past week, Collin Kayfus's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Collin Kayfus has had some very poor luck this year. His .268 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.307) suggests that Chandler Simpson has had some very poor luck this year with his .288 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Christopher Morel will have the upper hand today. Christopher Morel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage against Parker Messick today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Austin Hedges has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph average. Austin Hedges's 26.5° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in baseball: 98th percentile.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen today. Kyle Manzardo has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.9% seasonal rate to 17.2% over the past two weeks. Kyle Manzardo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average talent. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an advantage in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Parker Messick in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage today. Nick Fortes has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last year's 84.1-mph figure. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 11.6% to 16%.

Nolan Jones's BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Nolan Jones will have the upper hand today. Nolan Jones has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94.1-mph.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

George Valera has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.