San Francisco @ St. Louis Picks & Props

SF vs STL Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
San Francisco Giants logo SF (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

San Fran has been the hottest team in baseball over the last two weeks, going 11-1 over that span. A resurgent Justin Verlander takes the hill and should get tons of run support from an offense averaging nearly 8 runs per game over the last two weeks.

Total RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.9-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball hitters like Willy Adames tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as baseball's 17th-best home run hitter.. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Heliot Ramos has notched a .325 BABIP this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.
Total RBIs
Masyn Winn logo
Masyn Winn o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Masyn Winn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.9-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Outs Recorded
Justin Verlander logo
Justin Verlander o15.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 16.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Throwing 92.3 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Justin Verlander ranks in the 80th percentile.. It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the St. Louis Cardinals offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in the league this year.. Adam Beck projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in this game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants's expected catcher in today's matchup) projects as an elite pitch framer.. The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.
Total Bases
Jimmy Crooks logo
Jimmy Crooks u1.5 Total Bases (-195)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 5th-worst stadium in the majors for run-scoring.. The 2nd-deepest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Busch Stadium.. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report projects the least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 32%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball hitters like Willy Adames tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today.
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SF vs STL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

61% picking San Francisco

61%
39%

Total PicksSF 414, STL 260

Moneyline
SF
STL
Moneyline
Total

69% picking San Francisco vs St. Louis to go Over

69%
31%

Total PicksSF 288, STL 127

Total
Over
Under

SF vs STL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Patrick Bailey
P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Andre Pallante in today's game. Patrick Bailey has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.3-mph. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 41.3% on the season to 60% over the last 7 days. Patrick Bailey has been unlucky this year, putting up a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .281 — a .023 gap.

Patrick Bailey logo

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Andre Pallante in today's game. Patrick Bailey has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.3-mph. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 41.3% on the season to 60% over the last 7 days. Patrick Bailey has been unlucky this year, putting up a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .281 — a .023 gap.

Jung Hoo Lee Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Jung Hoo Lee
J. Lee
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an advantage in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jung Hoo Lee has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Jung Hoo Lee logo

Jung Hoo Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an advantage in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jung Hoo Lee has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
designated hitter DH • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's game. Rafael Devers has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.

Rafael Devers logo

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's game. Rafael Devers has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Willy Adames
W. Adames
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball hitters like Willy Adames tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante. Willy Adames's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 17.4% on the season to 45.5% in the last week.

Willy Adames logo

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball hitters like Willy Adames tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante. Willy Adames's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 17.4% on the season to 45.5% in the last week.

Luis Matos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Luis Matos
L. Matos
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Luis Matos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Luis Matos has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.8% to 19.4% this season.

Luis Matos logo

Luis Matos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Luis Matos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Luis Matos has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.8% to 19.4% this season.

Thomas Saggese Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Thomas Saggese
T. Saggese
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Thomas Saggese will hold that advantage in today's game. Sporting a .344 BABIP this year, Thomas Saggese grades out in the 90th percentile.

Thomas Saggese logo

Thomas Saggese

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Thomas Saggese will hold that advantage in today's game. Sporting a .344 BABIP this year, Thomas Saggese grades out in the 90th percentile.

Drew Gilbert Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Drew Gilbert
D. Gilbert
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Andrew Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage over Andre Pallante today. Andrew Gilbert is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP. In the last week, Andrew Gilbert's maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 109.8-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball. Over the past week, Andrew Gilbert has demonstrated exceptional bat control judging by THE BAT X Spray Score, which measures a batter's proficiency in hitting the ball to all fields.

Drew Gilbert logo

Drew Gilbert

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Andrew Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage over Andre Pallante today. Andrew Gilbert is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP. In the last week, Andrew Gilbert's maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 109.8-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball. Over the past week, Andrew Gilbert has demonstrated exceptional bat control judging by THE BAT X Spray Score, which measures a batter's proficiency in hitting the ball to all fields.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Heliot Ramos
H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Heliot Ramos has notched a .325 BABIP this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Heliot Ramos logo

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Heliot Ramos has notched a .325 BABIP this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Matt Chapman
M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Chapman are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

Matt Chapman logo

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Chapman are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Gorman
N. Gorman
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Verlander today. Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Nolan Gorman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph lately.

Nolan Gorman logo

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Verlander today. Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Nolan Gorman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph lately.

Jose Fermin Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Jose Fermin
J. Fermin
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Fermin will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.280) suggests that Jose Fermin has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .248 actual wOBA.

Jose Fermin logo

Jose Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Fermin will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.280) suggests that Jose Fermin has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .248 actual wOBA.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Jordan Walker
J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today. Jordan Walker has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.

Jordan Walker logo

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today. Jordan Walker has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.

Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Ivan Herrera
I. Herrera
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme groundball bats like Ivan Herrera are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Verlander. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage today.

Ivan Herrera logo

Ivan Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme groundball bats like Ivan Herrera are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Verlander. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage today.

Jimmy Crooks Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Jimmy Crooks
J. Crooks
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

James Crooks's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Crooks is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. James Crooks will have the handedness advantage over Justin Verlander in today's game. James Crooks will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jimmy Crooks logo

Jimmy Crooks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

James Crooks's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Crooks is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. James Crooks will have the handedness advantage over Justin Verlander in today's game. James Crooks will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Smith has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith logo

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Smith has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Lars Nootbaar
L. Nootbaar
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Lars Nootbaar logo

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Victor Scott II
V. Scott II
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Victor Scott II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander today. Victor Scott II will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Victor Scott II has experienced some negative variance this year. His .284 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299. Ranking in the 100th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.21 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott II is very fast.

Victor Scott II logo

Victor Scott II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Victor Scott II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander today. Victor Scott II will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Victor Scott II has experienced some negative variance this year. His .284 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299. Ranking in the 100th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.21 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott II is very fast.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Casey Schmitt
C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. In the past 7 days, Casey Schmitt's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 36.4%. Casey Schmitt has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 94-mph. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.341) implies that Casey Schmitt has had bad variance on his side this year with his .317 actual wOBA.

Casey Schmitt logo

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. In the past 7 days, Casey Schmitt's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 36.4%. Casey Schmitt has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 94-mph. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.341) implies that Casey Schmitt has had bad variance on his side this year with his .317 actual wOBA.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Masyn Winn
M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Masyn Winn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Masyn Winn has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 89.6-mph.

Masyn Winn logo

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Masyn Winn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Masyn Winn has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 89.6-mph.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Rank Leader L10 Units
1 chefsloan7 7-3-0 +18210
2 charro23 5-4-1 +17850
3 jazzmatazz 6-4-0 +17510
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St. Louis Team Leaders

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1 alltalc 7-3-0 +20715
2 Jackson2399 7-3-0 +17017
3 deweyay9 5-5-0 +16133
4 steelsteve 5-5-0 +14620
5 mrmac4224 6-4-0 +13709
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7 cheeser 7-3-0 +12475
8 mikers 9-1-0 +12375
9 northlv6238 7-3-0 +11580
10 YAL15M 6-4-0 +10655
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