Washington @ Chicago Picks & Props

WAS vs CHC Picks

MLB Picks
Spread
Chicago Cubs logo CHC -1.5 (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Chicago starter Javier Assad is stretched out and coming off three solid starts to the tune of 2.81 ERA and 1.13 WHIP, so with Washington checking in with a 20th-ranked wOBA against righties and a 26th-ranked overall mark since August 1, I’m expecting Assad to largely hold the Nats in check this afternoon.

Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's game.. Seiya Suzuki has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11.5% rate last season to 18.1% this year.
Total RBIs
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Luis Garcia Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup.. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Javier Assad.. Josh Bell has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Carlos Santana logo
Carlos Santana u1.5 Total Bases (-145)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Carlos Santana's BABIP talent is projected in the 0th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the schedule today.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Riley Adams logo
Riley Adams u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Adams in the 14th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Riley Adams is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field projects as the #25 stadium in the game for overall righty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, the 7th-highest fences are at Wrigley Field.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the schedule today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's game.. James Wood has big-time HR ability (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Javier Assad has a pitch-to-contact profile (14th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Luis Garcia Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup.. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's game.. Seiya Suzuki has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11.5% rate last season to 18.1% this year.
Outs Recorded
Javier Assad logo
Javier Assad o15.5 Outs Recorded (+126)
Projection 15.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Washington Nationals have been the 5th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst park in the league for batting average.. The 5th-deepest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field.. In the majors, the 7th-highest fences are at Wrigley Field.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the schedule today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.6% to 18.5%.
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WAS vs CHC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

71% picking Chi. Cubs

29%
71%

Total PicksWAS 170, CHC 419

Moneyline
WAS
CHC
Moneyline

WAS vs CHC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Robert Hassell III will have the upper hand in today's game. Robert Hassell III has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 95-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 6.2°, Robert Hassell III has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.7° figure over the past week.

Robert Hassell III logo

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Robert Hassell III will have the upper hand in today's game. Robert Hassell III has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 95-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 6.2°, Robert Hassell III has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.7° figure over the past week.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Andres Chaparro Total Hits Props • Washington

Andres Chaparro
A. Chaparro
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Andres Chaparro pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Andres Chaparro logo

Andres Chaparro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Andres Chaparro pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Brady House has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90-mph mark. In the past 7 days, Brady House's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.7%. In terms of his batting average, Brady House has experienced some negative variance this year. His .244 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Brady House has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90-mph mark. In the past 7 days, Brady House's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.7%. In terms of his batting average, Brady House has experienced some negative variance this year. His .244 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Dylan Crews has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 93.4-mph over the last 7 days. As it relates to his batting average, Dylan Crews has had some very poor luck this year. His .200 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

Dylan Crews logo

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Dylan Crews has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 93.4-mph over the last 7 days. As it relates to his batting average, Dylan Crews has had some very poor luck this year. His .200 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carlos Santana
C. Santana
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage today.

Carlos Santana logo

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage today.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Reese McGuire
R. McGuire
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Reese McGuire will have an advantage in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage today.

Reese McGuire logo

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Reese McGuire will have an advantage in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage today.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia Jr.
L. Garcia Jr.
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Garcia Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Luis Garcia Jr. logo

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Garcia Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Javier Assad. Josh Bell has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Javier Assad. Josh Bell has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's matchup. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.6% to 18.5%.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's matchup. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.6% to 18.5%.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Daylen Lile is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad today. Daylen Lile has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.9% seasonal rate to 10% in the past 7 days.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Daylen Lile is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad today. Daylen Lile has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.9% seasonal rate to 10% in the past 7 days.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Carson Kelly is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.

Carson Kelly logo

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Carson Kelly is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Willi Castro
W. Castro
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Irvin. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. Willi Castro has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .230 mark is a fair amount lower than his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willi Castro logo

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Irvin. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. Willi Castro has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .230 mark is a fair amount lower than his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Ian Happ logo

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Matt Shaw's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph recently.

Matt Shaw logo

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Matt Shaw's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph recently.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) has been 115.4 mph this year, placing in the 95th percentile.

Riley Adams logo

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) has been 115.4 mph this year, placing in the 95th percentile.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When assessing his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 14th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Nico Hoerner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Nico Hoerner logo

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 14th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Nico Hoerner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Dansby Swanson's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Dansby Swanson logo

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Dansby Swanson's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Seiya Suzuki logo

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Michael Busch logo

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.63
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jacob Young has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders

Chi. Cubs Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 nbahoops 8-1-1 +25230
2 unique11 7-2-1 +19730
3 fleterod 6-3-1 +18835
4 J_T 6-4-0 +17030
5 2YELLOWDOGS 5-4-1 +16680
6 HOLLANDANDITALY 7-3-0 +16225
7 teslaxyz 3-6-1 +15740
8 witt297 6-3-1 +15460
9 ggtra333 8-1-1 +15325
10 DoctorNo 5-4-1 +15070
All Cubs Money Leaders
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