New York @ Houston Picks & Props

Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander in today's game. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Ryan McMahon has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 30% over the past 7 days. Ryan McMahon has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 93.2-mph figure.

The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Anthony Volpe has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.2% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last two weeks. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 17.2% on the season to 35.7% in the past 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Volpe's true offensive ability to be a .312, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .022 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .290 wOBA.

The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Will Warren... and even better, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today. Victor Caratini will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today. Mauricio Dubon will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Mauricio Dubon's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (25.1° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 7° seasonal angle. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.1% to 19.9%. In terms of plate discipline, Mauricio Dubon's skill is quite good, sporting a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 81st percentile.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Yordan Alvarez will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league. Taylor Trammell will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren in today's game... and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Taylor Trammell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander in today's game. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Trent Grisham has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.6% seasonal rate to 30% in the past week's worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 10% rate last season to 17.8% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Giancarlo Stanton has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 21% seasonal rate to 35.3% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Will Warren in today's game... and even better, Warren has a large platoon split. Jesus Sanchez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today.

In MLB, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today. Ramon Urias will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Ramon Urias's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.1% up to 40%. Ramon Urias has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 102.3-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today. Carlos Correa will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the majors. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Aaron Judge's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (28.2° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 21.9° seasonal figure. Grading out in the 100th percentile, Aaron Judge has put up a .459 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Jose Altuve's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today. Jose Altuve will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game. Yainer Diaz has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past 7 days. Yainer Diaz's launch angle recently (20.3° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 11.5° seasonal mark.

Batting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today. Austin Wells has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Austin Wells has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.9% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Austin Wells's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph in recent games.

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Christian Walker has been unlucky this year, posting a .307 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .024 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander today. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Ben Rice has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last season's 90-mph figure. Ben Rice's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 46% on the season to 64.3% over the last 7 days.

Jeremy Pena's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. In MLB, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today. Jeremy Pena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Over the last week, Cody Bellinger's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.1% up to 25%.

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league. Jacob Melton will hold the platoon advantage over Will Warren today... and the cherry on top, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jacob Melton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.02 ft/sec this year, Jacob Melton is remarkably toolsy.