Toronto @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Sal Stewart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Matt McLain has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Matt McLain will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Matt McLain's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 22.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Ernie Clement pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 15.3% on the season to 18.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Ranking in the 81st percentile, Ernie Clement sports a .274 batting average this year.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Shane Bieber in this game. Elly De La Cruz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph average. Alejandro Kirk's launch angle in recent games (36.7° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably higher than his 12.1° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Jose Trevino pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Ty France has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last 14 days, Ty France's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph in recent games. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 41.6% to 49%.

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today. Ke'Bryan Hayes's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 88.8-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.404) suggests that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year with his .372 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Great American Ball Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an advantage today. Nathan Lukes may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Great American Ball Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand in today's game.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell today. Daulton Varsho may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds only has 1 same-handed RP. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today's matchup. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and TJ Friedl will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Bo Bichette is projected as the 5th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bo Bichette is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Bo Bichette has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Bo Bichette has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. George Springer has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.3% rate last season to 16.1% this season.

Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Austin Hays will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Austin Hays has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 93.5-mph over the past 14 days.

Addison Barger is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage today. Addison Barger has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds only has 1 same-handed RP. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Spencer Steer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Spencer Steer has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.5% to 21.4%. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.2°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30.8° figure in the last week.

Miguel Andujar has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.