Cleveland @ Boston Picks & Props

Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Bo Naylor will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Bo Naylor are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Collin Kayfus in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Collin Kayfus will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Collin Kayfus has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today. Collin Kayfus's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 23.9% on the season to 31.6% over the last two weeks.

Roman Anthony's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Roman Anthony hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Roman Anthony will hold that advantage today.

Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Daniel Schneemann hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Daniel Schneemann has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4.8% rate last year to 11.9% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Ramirez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Connor Wong will have an edge today. Connor Wong will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Connor Wong has been unlucky this year, compiling a .222 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .074 discrepancy.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Brayan Rocchio has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.7-mph average to last year's 84.5-mph average. Brayan Rocchio's launch angle in recent games (23.5° in the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 11.5° seasonal angle. In terms of his batting average, Brayan Rocchio has had some very poor luck this year. His .233 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his batting average, Nathaniel Lowe has experienced some negative variance this year. His .221 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .239.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Nolan Jones will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Nolan Jones has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Nolan Jones has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9% seasonal rate to 29.4% in the last two weeks.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kyle Manzardo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split. Kyle Manzardo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Manzardo tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. Carlos Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage against Parker Messick in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage today.

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. David Fry has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 90.6-mph mark. There has been a significant improvement in David Fry's launch angle from last season's 19.4° to 24.7° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. Trevor Story will have the handedness advantage over Parker Messick today.

Steven Kwan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Steven Kwan will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split. Steven Kwan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an advantage today. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Alex Bregman will hold the platoon advantage over Parker Messick in today's game. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Gabriel Arias hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gabriel Arias has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week. Gabriel Arias has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 13th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Romy Gonzalez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Parker Messick in today's game. Romy Gonzalez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Nate Eaton will have an edge in today's matchup. Nate Eaton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Nate Eaton will hold that advantage in today's game. Nate Eaton is quite fast, grading out in the 96th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.42 ft/sec this year.