New York @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Trent Grisham pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Trent Grisham has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.3% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days. Trent Grisham has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.9-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ben Rice has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last season's 90-mph EV. Ben Rice has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 93.5-mph EV. Over the last 14 days, Ben Rice's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Amed Rosario is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Amed Rosario will have the handedness advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. Amed Rosario has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Amed Rosario has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph EV.

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Lenyn Sosa has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Lenyn Sosa's launch angle from last season's 12.4° to 19.2° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage against Luis Gil in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10% rate last season to 17.8% this season. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (21.8°) is considerably higher than his 13.2° figure last year. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (25.3° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 21.8° seasonal mark.

Austin Wells has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Austin Wells has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.7% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 14 days. Austin Wells has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.8-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.4-mph. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) implies that Austin Wells has experienced some negative variance this year with his .210 actual batting average.

Curtis Mead has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Curtis Mead will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.4°, Curtis Mead has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.4° figure in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Kyle Teel is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Kyle Teel will have an edge in today's game. Kyle Teel may have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an advantage today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Tauchman has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Mike Tauchman has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game. Aaron Judge has put up a .456 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 100th percentile.

Chase Meidroth's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Meidroth has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Chase Meidroth generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Gil. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Chase Meidroth will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Anthony Volpe will have an edge in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Volpe has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.3% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 7 days. In the last 7 days, Anthony Volpe's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.8%. Anthony Volpe has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .210 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .229 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Edgar Quero is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Edgar Quero has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Edgar Quero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Cody Bellinger's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Cody Bellinger has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.9% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past 7 days. Cody Bellinger has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 91.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have an advantage in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Paul Goldschmidt's launch angle this year (16.6°) is a considerable increase over his 12.8° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have an edge in today's matchup. Giancarlo Stanton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Giancarlo Stanton has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 20.5% seasonal rate to 38.9% over the past 14 days.

Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an edge today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colson Montgomery can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Jose Caballero will hold the platoon advantage over Martin Perez today. Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last week, Jose Caballero's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.2%. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 43.9% to 50.5%.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Will Robertson will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Gil in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Robertson can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Will Robertson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.