Atlanta @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Sean Murphy will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Sean Murphy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 14.6% on the season to 28.6% in the past week's worth of games.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Nacho Alvarez Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s 57.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.8%.

Michael Harris II's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Harris II is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Michael Harris II has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball in the past two weeks' worth of games — 114.1-mph — which is a favorable measure of recent form and raw power.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.2% rate last year to 11.7% this season. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 13.8% to 17.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.7°, Bryson Stott has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.9° figure in the last 14 days.

Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Harrison Bader's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 23.1%. In the past 7 days, Harrison Bader's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 104.6-mph lately. Grading out in the 77th percentile, Harrison Bader sports a .348 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in baseball. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Ronald Acuna Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Nick Castellanos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Castellanos's true offensive skill to be a .322, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .020 disparity between that mark and his actual .302 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Marcell Ozuna will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Nick Allen will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Nick Allen has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.4-mph to 88.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 19th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average skill. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Alec Bohm's 55% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%.

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jesus Luzardo) today. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. In the past week, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 17.4%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Matt Olson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Matt Olson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year's 94-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. J.T. Realmuto has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9% seasonal rate to 19.2% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 8th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average skill. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 77th percentile, Trea Turner has posted a .348 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Brandon Marsh's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 46.6% to 51.6%.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Hurston Waldrep in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 12th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.