Atlanta @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Over the last 14 days, Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph of late. Despite posting a .294 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Harris II has experienced some negative variance given the .032 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Drake Baldwin's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Drake Baldwin has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 95-mph.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Sean Murphy will have an edge in today's game. Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Sean Murphy's 13.9% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 87th percentile this year. Sean Murphy's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to evaluate power) has been 114.4 mph this year, checking in at the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nacho Alvarez Jr. in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Nacho Alvarez Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 47.3% on the season to 57.1% in the past 14 days.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 8th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Given Chris Sale's large platoon split, Trea Turner will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Trea Turner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Cristopher Sanchez today. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Marcell Ozuna will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nick Allen will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Nick Allen has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 88.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 84.6-mph.

Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sale has a large platoon split. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today. Harrison Bader has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 94-mph. In the last week, Harrison Bader's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°, Nick Castellanos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9°) in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Given Chris Sale's large platoon split, J.T. Realmuto will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Matt Olson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Matt Olson has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last year's 94-mph figure.

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Cristopher Sanchez today. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Ozzie Albies are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 18th-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Ronald Acuna Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryce Harper will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Bryce Harper has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.9% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Edmundo Sosa will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Edmundo Sosa will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 39.5% to 46.8%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Kyle Schwarber has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 15.6% rate last year to 21% this season.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Considering Chris Sale's large platoon split, Weston Wilson will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage today. Weston Wilson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .276 figure is considerably lower than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Based on Statcast metrics, Weston Wilson grades out in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .256.