Pittsburgh @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Nathan Church will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Nathan Church is assured to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Nathan Church will hold that advantage in today's game.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Last season, Jack Suwinski had an average launch angle of 8.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 23.6°.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Liover Peguero has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 6°, Liover Peguero has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 29° figure over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Andrew McCutchen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph in recent games.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Joey Bart has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last year's 93-mph EV. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 43.1% to 52.1%.

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Spencer Horwitz will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP. Out of all the teams playing today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Miles Mikolas. Out of all the teams playing today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Tommy Pham's batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jared Triolo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. In the past week, Jared Triolo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 17.6%.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.3-mph. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 46.9% on the season to 57.1% in the last 14 days.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Yohel Pozo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's game. Lars Nootbaar is assured to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game since none of the available options for the Pittsburgh Pirates share his handedness.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Thomas Saggese will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Thomas Saggese's launch angle of late (20.3° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 12.3° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage today.

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Alec Burleson is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today. The Pittsburgh Pirates don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman is certain to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Ivan Herrera will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Henry Davis has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.