Colorado @ Houston Picks & Props

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Warming Bernabel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87-mph over the course of the season to 90.8-mph lately.

Minute Maid Park grades out as the #24 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense. In today's game, Yainer Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (85th percentile). The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of all the teams today. Yainer Diaz's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 90.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 88.3-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Despite posting a .251 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Braxton Fulford has had some very poor luck given the .042 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293. Ranking in the 87th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.82 ft/sec this year, Braxton Fulford is remarkably quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Kyle Karros is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.

Brenton Doyle's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Over the last 7 days, Brenton Doyle's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.5% up to 28.6%. Over the past 7 days, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.2-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Tyler Freeman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Utilizing Statcast data, Tyler Freeman grades out in the 77th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .340. By putting up a .299 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Tyler Freeman finds himself in the 98th percentile.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Batting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Yanquiel Fernandez will have an advantage today.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Yordan Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jordan Beck is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the majors. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Sporting a .328 BABIP this year, Jordan Beck is positioned in the 84th percentile.

Ezequiel Tovar's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the majors. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 43% to 51.5%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had bad variance on his side this year. His .315 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342.

Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Jason Alexander in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Mickey Moniak's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 22.2%. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Mickey Moniak has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.9° angle in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Jose Altuve will have an edge in today's matchup. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Carlos Correa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the majors. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Carlos Correa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's game.

When estimating his batting average skill, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 19th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Jeremy Pena will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Freeland today. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Ramon Urias is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the majors. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Ramon Urias will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Christian Walker will have an edge in today's matchup. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 12.1% to 20.1%.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Chas McCormick will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Chas McCormick will hold that advantage in today's game. Chas McCormick has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last year's 90.9-mph mark. Chas McCormick's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (22.9°) is a considerable increase over his 15.6° mark last season.

Orlando Arcia has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.