Boston @ Baltimore Picks & Props

BOS vs BAL Picks

MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Cade Povich logo Cade Povich u17.5 Outs Recorded (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Red Sox have been productive at the plate, ranking fourth in the majors in runs per game (4.96) and sixth in slugging (.425). They are third in the majors in hard hit rate and exit velocity, while ranking seventh in barrel rate. They've also been hitting well against lefties and face Orioles southpaw Cade Povich this afternoon. Povich has an xERA of 5.57 through 86 innings and he sits in the bottom fifth percentile in hard hit rate, exit velocity, and barrel rate. He has logged more than 17.5 outs just once in his last 10 starts and I don't expect him to pitch deep into this game. 

Total RBIs
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed home runs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Alex Bregman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jhostynxon Garcia logo
Jhostynxon Garcia o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed home runs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Jhostynxon Garcia will have the upper hand in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Samuel Basallo logo
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #5 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Samuel Basallo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. In the last week, Samuel Basallo's maximum exit velocity (a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 112.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Alex Jackson logo
Alex Jackson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed home runs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Alex Jackson will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. This season, Alex Jackson has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.2 mph compared to last year's 93.3 mph mark.
Total Bases
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jarren Duran's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The #5 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 13.8% to 16.9%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Colton Cowser logo
Colton Cowser o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The #5 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Colton Cowser will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Colton Cowser has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week's worth of games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Dylan Carlson logo
Dylan Carlson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed home runs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Garrett Crochet today.. Dylan Carlson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Dylan Carlson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph mark.
Total Bases
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed home runs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed home runs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Alex Bregman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.
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BOS vs BAL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

70% picking Boston

70%
30%

Total PicksBOS 456, BAL 198

Moneyline
BOS
BAL
Moneyline

BOS vs BAL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jhostynxon Garcia Total Hits Props • Boston

Jhostynxon Garcia
J. Garcia
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Jhostynxon Garcia will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Jhostynxon Garcia logo

Jhostynxon Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Jhostynxon Garcia will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Roman Anthony Total Hits Props • Boston

Roman Anthony
R. Anthony
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. The shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

Roman Anthony logo

Roman Anthony

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. The shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

Samuel Basallo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Samuel Basallo
S. Basallo
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. The shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Samuel Basallo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the last week, Samuel Basallo's maximum exit velocity (a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 112.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.

Samuel Basallo logo

Samuel Basallo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. The shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Samuel Basallo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the last week, Samuel Basallo's maximum exit velocity (a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 112.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Gunnar Henderson
G. Henderson
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Gunnar Henderson logo

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jackson Holliday
J. Holliday
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage today.

Jackson Holliday logo

Jackson Holliday

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage today.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jarren Duran's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Jarren Duran logo

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jarren Duran's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Alex Jackson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Alex Jackson
A. Jackson
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Alex Jackson will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Alex Jackson has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.2 mph compared to last year's 93.3 mph mark.

Alex Jackson logo

Alex Jackson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Alex Jackson will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Alex Jackson has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.2 mph compared to last year's 93.3 mph mark.

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Colton Cowser
C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Colton Cowser will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Colton Cowser has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week's worth of games.

Colton Cowser logo

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in baseball for left-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Colton Cowser will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Colton Cowser has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week's worth of games.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an edge in today's matchup.

Rob Refsnyder logo

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an edge in today's matchup.

Nate Eaton Total Hits Props • Boston

Nate Eaton
N. Eaton
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Nate Eaton will have an advantage in today's game. Nate Eaton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Nate Eaton logo

Nate Eaton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Nate Eaton will have an advantage in today's game. Nate Eaton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Trevor Story will have an edge in today's game.

Trevor Story logo

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Trevor Story will have an edge in today's game.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Alex Bregman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.

Alex Bregman logo

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Alex Bregman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Dylan Carlson
D. Carlson
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Garrett Crochet today. Dylan Carlson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dylan Carlson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph mark.

Dylan Carlson logo

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Garrett Crochet today. Dylan Carlson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dylan Carlson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph mark.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela logo

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Carlos Narvaez will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Carlos Narvaez logo

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Carlos Narvaez will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan Mountcastle
R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have an edge today.

Ryan Mountcastle logo

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have an edge today.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

Romy Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his BABIP skill, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Romy Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.

Romy Gonzalez logo

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his BABIP skill, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Romy Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.

Luis Vazquez Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Luis Vazquez
L. Vazquez
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Luis Vazquez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Luis Vazquez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Vazquez will hold that advantage today.

Luis Vazquez logo

Luis Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Luis Vazquez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Luis Vazquez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Vazquez will hold that advantage today.

Coby Mayo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Coby Mayo
C. Mayo
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Coby Mayo will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Coby Mayo will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Coby Mayo has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .191 BA is a good deal lower than his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Coby Mayo logo

Coby Mayo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Coby Mayo will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Coby Mayo will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Coby Mayo has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .191 BA is a good deal lower than his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeremiah Jackson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jeremiah Jackson
J. Jackson
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jeremiah Jackson will have an advantage in today's game. Jeremiah Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jeremiah Jackson logo

Jeremiah Jackson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jeremiah Jackson will have an advantage in today's game. Jeremiah Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Boston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dispnum1 5-5-0 +16630
2 stakay125 7-3-0 +16380
3 Jackson2399 6-4-0 +15369
4 regger22 8-2-0 +14785
5 Andrew333_ 7-3-0 +13995
6 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +13785
7 Shitman 8-2-0 +13440
8 Coakley 7-3-0 +12975
9 Sandsaver727 3-7-0 +12835
10 TheTotalMan 9-1-0 +12815
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Baltimore Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +31435
2 stumpmaker 4-5-1 +24450
3 reddog6008 7-2-1 +20117
4 coach_d5 7-3-0 +18885
5 jnc3lb 5-5-0 +16895
6 mccabe40 3-7-0 +16810
7 MLBFan8848 5-5-0 +16285
8 R_MUNDO 4-6-0 +16065
9 Enelra18 4-5-1 +15445
10 Queefs4 5-4-1 +15185
All Orioles Money Leaders
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