San Diego @ Seattle picks
T-Mobile Park
SD vs SEA Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.. Ryan O'Hearn has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Gavin Sheets will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.. Gavin Sheets has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.8% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past week.
Total Bases

Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-150)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Dylan Cease in this game.. Cal Raleigh has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 52.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 39.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the majors's 14th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of the day.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cole Young o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of the day.. Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease today.. Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.. Cole Young will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of the day.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.. Ryan O'Hearn has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

J.P. Crawford o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of the day.. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today.. J.P. Crawford has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases

Gavin Sheets u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. 11% of the time that Gavin Sheets has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gavin Sheets today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jorge Polanco o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of the day.. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's game.. Jorge Polanco has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.3-mph figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Dominic Canzone o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of the day.. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease today.. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's game.