Philadelphia @ New York picks
Citi Field
PHI vs NYM Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Total

Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Phillies and Mets combined for 16 runs in the series opener Monday, and both teams have been dialed in at the dish in August. New York paces the majors with a .364 wOBA while averaging 6.05 runs per game, and the Philly checks in with a fourth-ranked .343 wOBA and an average of 5.04 per. Neither club is sending an ace to the hill, either.
Total RBIs

Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs

Starling Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Starling Marte's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Starling Marte is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Starling Marte will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 4th-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Pete Alonso projects as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Pete Alonso will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Trea Turner will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Manaea in today's game.
Total RBIs

Mark Vientos o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Mark Vientos will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Pete Alonso projects as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Pete Alonso will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Juan Soto o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams today.