Washington @ New York picks

While the barrel rate numbers have been strong, the reliance on the fastball and the below-average hard-hit rate figures to cause some issues. It’s the same phenomenon we’ve talked about all season: when a pitcher is so reliant on the heater, they are naturally at a huge disadvantage against this Yankees offense. That’s because it’s a lineup that features six players who rank in the top percentile of hard-hit rate in the majors.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the majors.. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brad Lord.

Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today.

On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage in today's game.. Hitters such as Austin Wells with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brad Lord who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 7th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today.

On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 21.6% on the season to 34.8% over the past two weeks.. Posting a .293 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Paul DeJong is ranked in the 83rd percentile.

Jasson Dominguez is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Jasson Dominguez has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.. The #4 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to less offense.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 6th-least humidity on the slate at 39%.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Bradley Lord is projected to throw 83 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate.. The best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the New York Yankees.. Projected catcher Riley Adams projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Robert Hassell III will hold the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter today.. Robert Hassell III will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.

The #4 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Yankee Stadium has the 6th-deepest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 6th-least humidity on the slate at 39%.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for CJ Abrams in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 85-mph in the past week.