Washington @ New York Picks & Props

WAS vs NYY Picks

MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Brad Lord logo Brad Lord u14.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

While the barrel rate numbers have been strong, the reliance on the fastball and the below-average hard-hit rate figures to cause some issues. It’s the same phenomenon we’ve talked about all season: when a pitcher is so reliant on the heater, they are naturally at a huge disadvantage against this Yankees offense. That’s because it’s a lineup that features six players who rank in the top percentile of hard-hit rate in the majors.

Total RBIs
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the majors.. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brad Lord.
Total RBIs
Giancarlo Stanton logo
Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage in today's game.. Hitters such as Austin Wells with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brad Lord who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 7th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Paul DeJong logo
Paul DeJong o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 21.6% on the season to 34.8% over the past two weeks.. Posting a .293 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Paul DeJong is ranked in the 83rd percentile.
Total Bases
Jasson Dominguez logo
Jasson Dominguez u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jasson Dominguez is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Jasson Dominguez has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.. The #4 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to less offense.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 6th-least humidity on the slate at 39%.
Outs Recorded
Brad Lord logo
Brad Lord u14.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
Projection 14 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Bradley Lord is projected to throw 83 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate.. The best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the New York Yankees.. Projected catcher Riley Adams projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Robert Hassell III logo
Robert Hassell III o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-161)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Robert Hassell III will hold the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter today.. Robert Hassell III will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #4 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Yankee Stadium has the 6th-deepest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 6th-least humidity on the slate at 39%.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for CJ Abrams in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 85-mph in the past week.
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WAS vs NYY Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

67% picking NY Yankees

33%
67%

Total PicksWAS 185, NYY 378

Moneyline
WAS
NYY
Total

62% picking Washington vs NY Yankees to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksWAS 218, NYY 135

Total
Over
Under

WAS vs NYY Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today. James Wood has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today. James Wood has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Dylan Crews has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Dylan Crews's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph in recent games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) implies that Dylan Crews has had bad variance on his side this year with his .202 actual batting average.

Dylan Crews logo

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Dylan Crews has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Dylan Crews's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph in recent games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) implies that Dylan Crews has had bad variance on his side this year with his .202 actual batting average.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Jacob Young has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 96.7-mph over the past 7 days. Jacob Young has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 87-mph average to last season's 84.9-mph figure.

Jacob Young logo

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Jacob Young has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 96.7-mph over the past 7 days. Jacob Young has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 87-mph average to last season's 84.9-mph figure.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daylen Lile has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daylen Lile has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Brady House's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brady House has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Brady House has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.1% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last week's worth of games. Brady House has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Brady House's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brady House has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Brady House has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.1% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last week's worth of games. Brady House has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Robert Hassell III will hold the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter today. Robert Hassell III will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.280) may lead us to conclude that Robert Hassell III has had some very poor luck this year with his .248 actual wOBA.

Robert Hassell III logo

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Robert Hassell III will hold the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter today. Robert Hassell III will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.280) may lead us to conclude that Robert Hassell III has had some very poor luck this year with his .248 actual wOBA.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Cody Bellinger
C. Bellinger
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brad Lord today. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Cody Bellinger logo

Cody Bellinger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brad Lord today. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Aaron Judge
A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the majors. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brad Lord. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Aaron Judge logo

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the majors. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brad Lord. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Washington

Paul DeJong
P. DeJong
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 21.6% on the season to 34.8% over the past two weeks.

Paul DeJong logo

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 21.6% on the season to 34.8% over the past two weeks.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
J. Chisholm Jr.
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brad Lord in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brad Lord in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Cam Schlitter in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Josh Bell's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph lately. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year. His .314 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .336.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Cam Schlitter in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Josh Bell's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph lately. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year. His .314 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .336.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Giancarlo Stanton
G. Stanton
designated hitter DH • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today.

Giancarlo Stanton logo

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia Jr.
L. Garcia Jr.
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Luis Garcia Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Garcia Jr. stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Luis Garcia Jr. logo

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Luis Garcia Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Garcia Jr. stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Ryan McMahon
R. McMahon
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Ryan McMahon will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Ryan McMahon logo

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Ryan McMahon will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Trent Grisham
T. Grisham
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage today. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Trent Grisham logo

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage today. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Ben Rice Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Ben Rice
B. Rice
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage in today's game. Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Ben Rice logo

Ben Rice

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage in today's game. Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Paul Goldschmidt
P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Paul Goldschmidt's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Paul Goldschmidt has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today.

Paul Goldschmidt logo

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Paul Goldschmidt's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Paul Goldschmidt has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Jose Caballero
J. Caballero
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Caballero has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.1-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph average. Compared to last year, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 50.6% this season.

Jose Caballero logo

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Caballero has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.1-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph average. Compared to last year, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 50.6% this season.

Jasson Dominguez Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Jasson Dominguez
J. Dominguez
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Brad Lord. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jasson Dominguez logo

Jasson Dominguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Brad Lord. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Riley Adams is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Riley Adams's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.6% up to 33.3%. Riley Adams has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 98.5-mph over the last 7 days.

Riley Adams logo

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Riley Adams is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Riley Adams's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.6% up to 33.3%. Riley Adams has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 98.5-mph over the last 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders

NY Yankees Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 TAURO1954 6-4-0 +20640
2 faustobaez 5-5-0 +18570
3 faustobone 5-5-0 +18455
4 proliner55 7-3-0 +17645
5 cucamonga 6-4-0 +17345
6 Jets73 8-2-0 +16105
7 Hawggolf1 5-5-0 +16085
8 burley 7-3-0 +15930
9 poppyg 6-4-0 +15772
10 Fekete 7-3-0 +14610
All Yankees Money Leaders
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