Toronto @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park projects as the #22 park in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 10th-deepest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 9th-worst field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Eury Perez throws from, Bo Bichette will not have the upper hand today. Bo Bichette has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game.

Derek Hill's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Derek Hill will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Derek Hill has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph mark. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) implies that Derek Hill has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .225 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In the majors, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Javier Sanoja will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Javier Sanoja has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 2.4% seasonal rate to 8.3% over the past 7 days. Javier Sanoja has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 86.2-mph.

Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Eric Wagaman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 42.9%. Eric Wagaman has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 100.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Eric Wagaman has been unlucky this year, putting up a .284 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .026 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ty France is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ty France has been unlucky this year. His .307 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

Nathan Lukes's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Nathan Lukes generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez. Nathan Lukes has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .252 figure is deflated compared to his .277 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Andres Gimenez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.7-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 86.6-mph average. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (13°) is a significant increase over his 9.2° mark last year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.262) may lead us to conclude that Andres Gimenez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .217 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph figure. Alejandro Kirk has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.7-mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Alejandro Kirk's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Otto Lopez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 94.9-mph in the past 7 days.

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Liam Hicks can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Liam Hicks will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. As it relates to plate discipline, Liam Hicks's talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.46 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 90th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Addison Barger ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Addison Barger is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Addison Barger has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph average. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Addison Barger has been unlucky this year. His .331 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .350.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Ernie Clement has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.3-mph average to last year's 85.3-mph EV. Over the past two weeks, Ernie Clement's 32.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%. Ernie Clement has posted a .275 batting average this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. George Springer has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 9.3% rate last season to 15.4% this year. Based on Statcast metrics, George Springer is in the 98th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .384.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Davis Schneider has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12% rate last season to 17.9% this year. This season, Davis Schneider has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.7 mph compared to last year's 93.1 mph mark. Davis Schneider's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (29.4°) is considerably higher than his 23.4° mark last year. Posting a .352 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Davis Schneider is positioned in the 88th percentile.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Agustin Ramirez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Agustin Ramirez has had some very poor luck this year. His .231 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .270. Ranking in the 97th percentile, the hardest ball Agustin Ramirez has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.9 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Sporting a .367 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Tyler Heineman is ranked in the 96th percentile. Tyler Heineman has put up a .306 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 98th percentile.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez today. Daulton Varsho has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.4% rate last season to 19.4% this year. Daulton Varsho has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 19.4% seasonal rate to 26.3% in the past two weeks. Daulton Varsho's launch angle recently (28.2° over the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 23.5° seasonal angle.

Jakob Marsee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an edge today. Jakob Marsee will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP. Jakob Marsee will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Jakob Marsee's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph lately.

Heriberto Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 80th percentile, Heriberto Hernandez has posted a .338 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Sporting a .271 batting average this year, Heriberto Hernandez finds himself in the 84th percentile.

Troy Johnston will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game. Troy Johnston is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP. Troy Johnston hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Troy Johnston has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week.