Toronto @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park projects as the #23 park in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.

The #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Janson Junk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game. Bo Bichette has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-deepest RF fences today.

Andres Gimenez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage over Janson Junk today. Andres Gimenez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 92.1-mph in the last two weeks. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (13.3°) is significantly better than his 9.2° mark last year. In terms of his batting average, Andres Gimenez has been unlucky this year. His .216 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261.

Ty France's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ty France has had bad variance on his side this year. His .310 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .345.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Alejandro Kirk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 23.1%. Alejandro Kirk has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark. Over the past 14 days, Alejandro Kirk's 32% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Dane Myers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dane Myers has suffered from bad luck given the .022 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Addison Barger is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Janson Junk in today's matchup. Addison Barger has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph average. Addison Barger's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 45.7% on the season to 58.3% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an edge today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) suggests that Nathan Lukes has experienced some negative variance this year with his .250 actual batting average. By putting up a 1.23 K/BB rate this year, Nathan Lukes has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Eric Wagaman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 57.1%. Eric Wagaman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 99.5-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Javier Sanoja will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Javier Sanoja has experienced some negative variance this year. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .288.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. George Springer has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last season to 15.6% this season. This season, George Springer has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.6 mph compared to last year's 93.2 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 15.1% on the season to 37% in the last 14 days. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Ernie Clement sits with a .278 batting average this year.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand today. Daulton Varsho has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.4% rate last year to 18.2% this season. Daulton Varsho has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last season's 91.1-mph average. Daulton Varsho's launch angle recently (29.2° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 23.4° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Agustin Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Agustin Ramirez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94.9-mph.

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Heriberto Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Heriberto Hernandez has posted a .340 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 81st percentile. With a .272 batting average this year, Heriberto Hernandez finds himself in the 84th percentile.

Jakob Marsee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jakob Marsee's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.3% up to 15.6%. Putting up a 92.9-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks, Jakob Marsee has been in great form of late.

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Liam Hicks will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. By putting up a 1.43 K/BB rate this year, Liam Hicks has shown strong plate discipline, placing in the 91st percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Troy Johnston will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Troy Johnston hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Troy Johnston's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8% up to 14.3%. Troy Johnston has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.2-mph figure.

Joey Wiemer has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.