Cleveland @ Texas picks
Globe Life Field
CLE vs TEX Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Carlos Santana o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Total RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Kyle Manzardo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today's game.. Kyle Manzardo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.4-mph.. Kyle Manzardo has hit 31.6 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 91st percentile for power.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

David Fry o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, David Fry ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. David Fry is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. David Fry has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 90.6-mph average.. David Fry's launch angle this season (24.1°) is quite a bit better than his 19.4° angle last season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Bo Naylor o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-161)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage against Jack Leiter in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.1°, Bo Naylor has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.1° mark in the last 14 days.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Bo Naylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .278 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319.
Total Bases

Adolis Garcia u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Adolis Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF fences among all stadiums.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams playing today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Gabriel Arias o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-161)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Over the last two weeks, Gabriel Arias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.5-mph over the course of the season to 105.6-mph recently.. Compared to his seasonal average of 6.5°, Gabriel Arias has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29.7° angle over the past 7 days.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.9) suggests that Gabriel Arias has been unlucky this year with his 14.6 actual HR/600.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brayan Rocchio o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-161)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Brayan Rocchio has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.4-mph average to last season's 84.5-mph average.. Brayan Rocchio's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (21° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 14.7° seasonal angle.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) suggests that Brayan Rocchio has had bad variance on his side this year with his .231 actual batting average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Kyle Manzardo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today's game.. Kyle Manzardo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.4-mph.. Kyle Manzardo has hit 31.6 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 91st percentile for power.
Total Bases

Ezequiel Duran u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
45% of the time that Ezequiel Duran has started against a southpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF fences among all stadiums.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams playing today.
Total Bases

Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge in today's game.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.