Athletics @ Seattle picks
T-Mobile Park
ATH vs SEA Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Brent Rooker o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Brent Rooker projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°.. Brent Rooker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team in action today.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jeffrey Springs.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°.. Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge in today's game.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°.. Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs today.
Total RBIs

Mitch Garver o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°.. Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Mitch Garver will have an advantage today.. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Athletics outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°.. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have the upper hand today.. Tyler Soderstrom has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Josh Naylor o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Josh Naylor is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°.. Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Athletics outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°.. Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have the upper hand today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

JJ Bleday o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 6th-worst out of every team in action today.. Over the past 7 days, JJ Bleday's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%.
Total Bases

Eugenio Suarez u1.5 Total Bases (-161)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in the game for run-scoring.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jeffrey Springs.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (31.9) provides evidence that Eugenio Suarez has had some very good luck this year with his 46.4 actual HR/600.. Eugenio Suarez has posted a .240 BABIP this year, checking in at the 2nd percentile.