Boston @ New York picks
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Total Strikeouts

Pick made: 5 days ago

Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
We’re grabbing Brayan Bello to go Over a modest total of 4.5 strikeouts this evening. A number that my projections made 5.2, and a number he’s exceeded in two of his last three games – he also went over this number with relative ease in the first matchup against the New York Yankees earlier this season. It’s easy to understand why.
Total RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.. Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Extreme groundball hitters like Aaron Judge are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split.. Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Austin Wells will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Austin Wells are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (21.2°) is significantly better than his 16.9° mark last season.
Total RBIs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello today... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Aaron Judge o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Extreme groundball hitters like Aaron Judge are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Extreme groundball hitters like Aaron Judge are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nate Eaton o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Nate Eaton is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Nate Eaton will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried today.. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.35 ft/sec this year, Nate Eaton is very fast.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ben Rice o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split.. Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello today... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.