Washington @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #21 park in MLB for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This game is projected to have the 5th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) suggests that Dylan Crews has had some very poor luck this year with his .200 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Robert Hassell III's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 23% on the season to 39.1% in the last 14 days.

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.

Brady House's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Brady House has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 93.2-mph in the past 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Brady House's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50.4%.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #21 venue in the league for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This game is projected to have the 5th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup today. In the last week's worth of games, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #21 venue in the league for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This game is projected to have the 5th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Cade Cavalli will hold the platoon advantage over J.T. Realmuto in today's game. J.T. Realmuto's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (10.1°) is significantly worse than his 13.1° mark last year.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #21 park in MLB for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This game is projected to have the 5th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Garcia Jr. today. Luis Garcia Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Bryson Stott will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Max Kepler ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand today. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Daylen Lile will have the upper hand in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Over the past week, Daylen Lile's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.4-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 20th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Taijuan Walker. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Paul DeJong is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today). Paul DeJong has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.6% seasonal rate to 17.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Drew Millas will get to bat from his strong side against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.

Riley Adams is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Over the last week, Riley Adams's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.5% up to 33.3%. Riley Adams has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 96.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today. Nick Castellanos has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.7% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage today.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today.