Washington @ Philadelphia picks
Citizens Bank Park
WAS vs PHI Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #10 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Riley Adams o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Riley Adams is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #10 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. Riley Adams has big-time HR ability (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (32.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker struggles to strike batters out (4th percentile K%) — great news for Adams.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #10 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's game.. James Wood has strong power (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker struggles to strike batters out (15th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.
Total RBIs

J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #10 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #10 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Taijuan Walker.. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 20th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #10 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Paul DeJong o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Paul DeJong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The #10 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Paul DeJong has a ton of pop (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (29.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker is a pitch-to-contact type (10th percentile K%) — great news for DeJong.. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Paul DeJong has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.6% seasonal rate to 17.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.
Total RBIs

Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Luis Garcia Jr. is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #10 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an advantage today.. Luis Garcia Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Nick Castellanos o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. The #10 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #10 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's game.. James Wood has strong power (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker struggles to strike batters out (15th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.