Colorado @ Pittsburgh picks

Maybe the Rockies are starting to turn the corner? They've gone 7-3 across their last 10 games, including a split with the Dodgers and a series win vs. the Diamondbacks. The offense his producing, and against Braxton Ashcraft, why not trust them to keep it rolling at a big underdog price? 

Brenton Doyle's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Brenton Doyle has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Warming Bernabel is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Warming Bernabel has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 89.2-mph in the past week.

When estimating his home run skill, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Mickey Moniak may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Jordan Beck is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Jordan Beck has recorded a .334 BABIP this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today.. Henry Davis's quickness has gotten better this season. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.27 ft/sec now.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.311) provides evidence that Henry Davis has been unlucky this year with his .240 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.. Andrew McCutchen will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Antonio Senzatela's overall pitching skill ranks in the 4th percentile out of all starters in the game currently.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Antonio Senzatela to be on a pitch count in today's game, projecting a maximum of 76 pitches.. The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. 18% of the time that Jack Suwinski has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the worst stadium in baseball for lefty home runs.. Among all parks, the 6th-tallest average fence height are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for homers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Ryan Ritter has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 2.7% seasonal rate to 10% in the last week.. Ryan Ritter has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 85.9-mph.