Boston @ New York Picks & Props

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Among every team in action today, the 11th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Romy Gonzalez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Bats such as Romy Gonzalez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Luis Gil who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among every team in action today, the 11th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Romy Gonzalez has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.5% rate last season to 15.4% this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 93.1-mph figure.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage against Luis Gil today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme flyball hitters like Masataka Yoshida tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Gil. Among every team in action today, the 11th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Among every team in action today, the 11th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ceddanne Rafaela has had some very poor luck this year. His .311 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .329.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Jazz Chisholm Jr. has significantly improved, with an increase from 10% last year to 18.5% this season.

Among every team in action today, the 11th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Carlos Narvaez's 91.4-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in Major League Baseball this year: 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Among every team in action today, the 11th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Alex Bregman is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of New York (#1-worst of all teams on the slate). Alex Bregman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Paul Goldschmidt has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 14 days. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 93.5-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ben Rice is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage over Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ben Rice will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Roman Anthony stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme flyball batters like Roman Anthony are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Gil.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Aaron Judge will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.5°, Aaron Judge has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.2° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games. By putting up a .467 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Aaron Judge is positioned in the 100th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Trent Grisham has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 95.4-mph.

Trevor Story's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Among every team in action today, the 11th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Checking in at the 89th percentile, Trevor Story sports a .334 BABIP this year.

Cody Bellinger's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Lucas Giolito today. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Giancarlo Stanton will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 17.2% seasonal rate to 41.7% over the past two weeks. Giancarlo Stanton has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.5-mph to 101.4-mph in the past two weeks.

Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 16.6% on the season to 42.9% over the past week.

Jose Caballero has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.