San Francisco @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Using Statcast metrics, Jung Hoo Lee is in the 80th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .274.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Heliot Ramos will have the upper hand in today's game. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

The #4 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Landen Roupp will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 96.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 78.9-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 4th-worst field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 87.9-mph average last year has dropped off to 85.4-mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 85.4 mph to 82.8 mph. Luis Arraez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (2.4° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 9.7° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Willy Adames will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 18.9%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Patrick Bailey's true offensive ability to be a .282, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .024 difference between that figure and his actual .258 wOBA.

Jose Iglesias's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Jose Iglesias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge in today's game.

This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today's game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's game. Gavin Sheets has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph EV.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today's game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Casey Schmitt is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Casey Schmitt will have the upper hand today. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have an advantage today. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Over the last week, Tyler Fitzgerald's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.4% up to 16.7%.

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Wilmer Flores will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against JP Sears in today's game. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Christian Koss will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Christian Koss has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 92-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Freddy Fermin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.