Seattle @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Cole Young has suffered from bad luck this year. His .309 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339. When it comes to plate discipline, Cole Young's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.57 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 88th percentile.

J.P. Crawford's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16.6% to 19.6%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) implies that J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck this year with his .264 actual batting average.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 field in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. In the last 7 days, Julio Rodriguez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Dominic Canzone has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph figure. Compared to last year, Dominic Canzone has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 35% to 46.9% this season. In the last week, Dominic Canzone's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.9%.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 field in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Bryce Miller will hold the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.3% down to 0%.

Josh Naylor's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Naylor is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Josh Naylor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark.

Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Mitch Garver tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Mitch Garver has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Dylan Moore will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Dylan Moore usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Dylan Moore's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 18% to 22.8%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Batters such as Eugenio Suarez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Jorge Polanco are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jorge Polanco's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph of late. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 16.9% on the season to 37.5% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller today. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today. Max Kepler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Max Kepler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph lately.

Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Cal Raleigh generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

Nick Castellanos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today. Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 23.1%.

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today. Bryce Harper has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 14th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today.