Seattle @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 15.3% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert today. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 8th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. Cole Young's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 42% on the season to 55.6% over the past 7 days. Cole Young has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .305 mark is considerably lower than his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 8th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage today. Max Kepler has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.7-mph.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. Dominic Canzone's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92-mph now compared to just 89.9-mph then. Dominic Canzone's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 35% to 46.9%. Over the last week, Dominic Canzone's 61.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.9%.

J.P. Crawford's batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. As it relates to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck this year. His .262 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .279. With a 1.47 K/BB rate this year, J.P. Crawford has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 10th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 8th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Josh Naylor is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. Josh Naylor has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 14.8% in the last two weeks.

Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Mitch Garver will have an edge in today's game. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Mitch Garver are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. Over the last week, Mitch Garver's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Randy Arozarena will have the upper hand today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 13th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 8th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Eugenio Suarez will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Eugenio Suarez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 8th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper projects as the 14th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. Bryce Harper has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 8th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 8th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (44% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ranger Suarez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Donovan Solano will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Donovan Solano's 25.6° mark (79th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

Nick Castellanos's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 8th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Nick Castellanos has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 19.3° mark in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 8th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.