Philadelphia @ Washington Picks & Props

The #3 field in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Cade Cavalli will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Castellanos today. Over the last week, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst venue in the league for lefty batting average. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Over the last week, Bryce Harper's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The #3 field in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Batting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Trea Turner will not have the upper hand in today's game. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Over the last week, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

The #3 field in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Cade Cavalli will hold the platoon advantage over J.T. Realmuto in today's matchup. J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. J.T. Realmuto has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 3.2% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst venue in the league for lefty batting average. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Luis Garcia Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last two weeks. Luis Garcia Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 92.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 81.3-mph in the past two weeks. In the last week's worth of games, Luis Garcia Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dylan Crews ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. Dylan Crews has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) suggests that Dylan Crews has suffered from bad luck this year with his .200 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jacob Young has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last year's 84.9-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. Brady House has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brady House will hold that advantage today. Brady House has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 89.3-mph mark.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli today. Max Kepler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Max Kepler has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.2% rate last year to 11.8% this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Taijuan Walker. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nationals Park has the 11th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Posting a .315 BABIP this year, Edmundo Sosa has performed in the 76th percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.8°, Harrison Bader has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.8° mark over the past two weeks.

Daylen Lile's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Daylen Lile will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Daylen Lile will hold that advantage today.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Paul DeJong has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 17.9% over the last two weeks.

Riley Adams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Riley Adams will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Riley Adams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 43.4% on the season to 64.3% over the last 7 days.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 13th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli in today's game. Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Luis Garcia has not yet played a game this season.

Otto Kemp has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.