Philadelphia @ Washington picks

Judge returned from the IL recently, but it’s taken him a bit of time to find his best offensively again. He’s only hitting .172 in August. That being said, Judge finally went deep on Tuesday – his 38th home run of the year. Judge is 3-for-9 lifetime against Gray with a double. Gray has allowed 17 bombs this season, with 12 coming off the bats of right-handed hitters. Also, the slugger has 20 round-trippers on the road. It’s only a matter of time until Judge starts raking again, and his past success versus Gray gives optimism for this play.

Schwarber is also swinging it with authority this month. He has six home runs in August, and just went deep for the 43rd time on Friday against the Nats. He’s destroyed the Nats this season, already smacking five round-trippers against them in just 30 at-bats. Washington sends Cavalli to the mound today, who Schwarber has never faced. He’s allowed one homer in two starts this season. Schwarber has 26 bombs off right-handed hurlers, though, and has left the yard 22 times on the road. The Nationals’ bullpen also has a 5.84 ERA and has surrendered 62 home runs. Only four ball clubs have allowed more. One way or another, Schwarber has a real shot at smacking No. 44.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dylan Crews ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. Dylan Crews has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) suggests that Dylan Crews has suffered from bad luck this year with his .200 actual batting average.

Riley Adams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. Riley Adams has strong power (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (32.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker has a pitch-to-contact profile (3rd percentile K%) — great news for Adams.. Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Riley Adams will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°.. Paul DeJong has strong power (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (29.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker is a pitch-to-contact type (11th percentile K%) — great news for DeJong.. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.. James Wood has a ton of pop (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker doesn't generate many whiffs (17th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an edge today.. Luis Garcia Jr. has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Taijuan Walker.. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Posting a .315 BABIP this year, Edmundo Sosa has performed in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cade Cavalli to throw 80 pitches today (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Riley Adams (the Nationals's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.. Nationals Park has the 11th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.. James Wood has a ton of pop (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker doesn't generate many whiffs (17th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.