Milwaukee @ Cincinnati picks

The Reds seem to be feeling it of late at the plate, and I'll back them here against another Milwaukee youngster, Quinn Priester. Zack Littell has been solid over his last three starts, and I'll bank on him to keep it going. 

Through 22 appearances this season, Priester is 11-2 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. His underlying metrics are equally impressive, as he ranks in the top half of the league in expected ERA (xERA), walk rate, and barrel rate. This success is likely to continue against the Reds, a team he dominated the last time they met. In that outing, Priester allowed one run on two hits across two innings of work. Meanwhile, the Reds hand the ball to right-hander Littell. Entering this matchup, Littell ranks in the bottom quarter of the league in xERA, expected batting average (xBA), average exit velocity, and barrel rate. Not only do the Brewers hold the pitching advantage, but they also possess the hitting edge. This season, Milwaukee outranks Cincinnati in runs per game, hits per game, slugging percentage, and OPS.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Quinn Priester.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 stadium in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 stadium in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 stadium in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 90°.. Tyler Stephenson has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 stadium in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Spencer Steer generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Quinn Priester.

Noelvi Marte's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 stadium in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 stadium in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 stadium in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 stadium in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 stadium in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.