Milwaukee @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sal Frelick today. As it relates to his batting average, Sal Frelick has experienced some positive variance this year. His .298 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260.

Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. There has been a significant decline in Christian Yelich's launch angle from last season's 5.1° to 1.3° this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.325) implies that Christian Yelich has been lucky this year with his .356 actual wOBA.

Zack Littell will have the handedness advantage over William Contreras in today's game. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage over Quinn Priester in today's matchup. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Caleb Durbin pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. As it relates to plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.33 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Miguel Andujar is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Spencer Steer generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Quinn Priester.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's game. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Quinn Priester.

Noelvi Marte's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.

Gavin Lux's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Matt McLain will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Austin Hays has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 91.6-mph average.

Brandon Lockridge's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Brandon Lockridge has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ke'Bryan Hayes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Ke'Bryan Hayes's launch angle from last season's 4.7° to 9° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Tyler Stephenson has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Jose Trevino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Trevino will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.