Philadelphia @ Washington Picks & Props

The #3 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Trea Turner's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 89.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 84.9-mph in the last 7 days. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 18.2% on the season to 10.5% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Dylan Crews has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Dylan Crews will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Dylan Crews has experienced some negative variance this year. His .199 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .250.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an advantage in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Robert Hassell III will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Bryce Harper has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Bryce Harper has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Daylen Lile will have the upper hand today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Daylen Lile will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Kyle Schwarber has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 20.2% seasonal rate to 25.9% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Josh Bell has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Luis Garcia Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have the upper hand today. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Harrison Bader will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.9°, Harrison Bader has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.4° mark in the past 14 days.

Otto Kemp's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Otto Kemp will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Kemp has had some very poor luck this year. His .295 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an advantage today. J.T. Realmuto has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an edge in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

Riley Adams has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Riley Adams's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.3%. In the last 14 days, Riley Adams has averaged an impressive 97.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The 10th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Edmundo Sosa will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Brady House has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage in today's game. Brady House has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 96.1-mph over the past week.

Paul DeJong is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Paul DeJong is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#2-worst of all teams today). Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The 10th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Weston Wilson will have the upper hand in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. With a .359 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is positioned in the 96th percentile for hitting ability. Weston Wilson has notched a .265 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bryson Stott has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jacob Young has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Luis Garcia has not yet played a game this season.