Philadelphia @ Washington picks

The Phillies face Nationals SP Brad Lord, who has allowed five of his seven homers to left-handed hitters, while Kyle Schwarber has 26 round-trippers off right-handed hurlers.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today's game.. Max Kepler pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.. Over the last 7 days, Max Kepler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 102-mph recently.

Paul DeJong is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.. Paul DeJong will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split.. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Dylan Crews will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Dylan Crews has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

Among all major league stadiums, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.. The Washington Nationals have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in this game, which is especially troublesome given his large platoon split.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.. Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Dylan Crews will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Dylan Crews has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Dylan Crews will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Dylan Crews has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.. Jose Tena has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.