Philadelphia @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Jose Tena has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nationals Park ranks as the #26 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. Brad Lord will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner today. Trea Turner's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 87.5-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper today. Bryce Harper has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 12.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 18.7% on the season to 0% in the last week.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

Nationals Park ranks as the #26 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Brad Lord throws from, J.T. Realmuto meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today's game. J.T. Realmuto's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (10°) is significantly lower than his 13.1° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Dylan Crews will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Dylan Crews has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brad Lord in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today's game. Max Kepler pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Over the last 7 days, Max Kepler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 102-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Brady House will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Brady House has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Among all major league stadiums, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 39.5% to 47.5%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Daylen Lile will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Among all major league stadiums, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 49.4% on the season to 55.6% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Over the last 14 days, Nathaniel Lowe has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 29.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.1°. As it relates to his batting average, Nathaniel Lowe has had some very poor luck this year. His .215 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Jacob Young will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

CJ Abrams's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Brad Lord in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Paul DeJong is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Paul DeJong will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

Riley Adams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Riley Adams has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team on the slate today.