Colorado @ St. Louis picks

Somehow, Michael McGreevy’s hits market has hit 6.5, but the Under 5.5 at plus money is where you want to look. It’s the Rockies who are also heading home right after this game as they’re opening a series vs. the Diamondbacks on Thursday. It is still the worst road offense in baseball, and a weaker getaway lineup isn’t going to help a lineup with zero depth. McGreevy just blanked the Cubs at home and he might not see 90 pitches but this is the best way to fade the Rockies' offense today. Yes, the St. Louis starter is a hits/inning pitcher to date, but his last five games have been against the Padres (2x), Cubs (2x), and at Coors. He allowed three hits over 76 pitches in an easy matchup vs. the White Sox earlier this year. 

Jordan Beck's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Beck is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Beck has big-time HR ability (75th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (29.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy struggles to strike batters out (12th percentile K%) — great news for Beck.

Ezequiel Tovar's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ezequiel Tovar has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.7% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Mickey Moniak is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Lars Nootbaar has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Mickey Moniak is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today's game.