Boston @ San Diego Picks & Props

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. In the last week, Connor Wong's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 102.6-mph recently. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Wong's true offensive ability to be a .297, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .091 difference between that mark and his actual .206 wOBA. Placing in the 82nd percentile, Connor Wong has put up a .316 BABIP since the start of last season.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph recently.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Ryan O'Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Ryan O'Hearn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.1% seasonal rate to 15% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Roman Anthony's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Roman Anthony is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 4.8°, Roman Anthony has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 34° mark over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability. Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Luis Arraez will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best batter in baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Fernando Tatis Jr. has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 97.1-mph.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Abraham Toro's launch angle of late (27° over the last week) is a significant increase over his 13.8° seasonal mark.

Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Freddy Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's game.

Manny Machado's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Manny Machado has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93-mph EV.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage today. Wilyer Abreu's launch angle this year (23.9°) is considerably higher than his 19° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Trevor Story has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 14 days. In the past week, Trevor Story's 53.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.3%. Checking in at the 91st percentile, Trevor Story has notched a .334 BABIP this year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. This season, Alex Bregman has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.1 mph compared to last year's 90.9 mph mark. Grading out in the 97th percentile, Alex Bregman sits with a .392 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Jarren Duran has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.7% to 18.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Masataka Yoshida will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today. Masataka Yoshida has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 88-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ramon Laureano has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.3-mph EV. Over the past two weeks, Ramon Laureano's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.5%.