Kansas City @ Minnesota picks

Witt boasts a career 12-for-25 record against Twins starter Bailey Ober, with two doubles, two triples, and a home run, and it’s tough to pick against that .480 batting average and 1.320 OPS. He’s seen Ober’s best stuff and jumped all over it.

There’s also Witt Jr.’s five-game hit streak to consider. He started July with 16 hits from his first 10 games, and he’s making a similar surge this month, including four hits in Boston earlier in the week.

The bottom of the Kansas City lineup found some form in the past two games – with five hits from the 7, 8, and 9 holes in both outings – so there should be baserunners for Witt Jr. to work with here.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Noah Cameron is projected to throw 85 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 15th-least on the slate.. Clint Vondrak grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-worst venue in the majors for strikeouts.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Noah Cameron in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense.. Over the past 14 days, Randal Grichuk's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph recently.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's game.. Trevor Larnach has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Matt Wallner has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16.4% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 14 days.. Matt Wallner's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (23.2° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 19.4° seasonal figure.. Matt Wallner has notched a .420 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 97th percentile.

Kody Clemens is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week, Kody Clemens's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average.. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today's game.. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Luke Keaschall is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average.. Luke Keaschall will have the handedness advantage against Noah Cameron today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Luke Keaschall will hold that advantage today.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today.. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

When estimating his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average.. Over the past 14 days, Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.6-mph in recent games.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (33.1) suggests that Salvador Perez has experienced some negative variance this year with his 26.0 actual HR/600.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in MLB.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average.. Over the last 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 112.9-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the majors.. Bobby Witt Jr. has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 20.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 26.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.