Kansas City @ Minnesota Picks & Props

KC vs MIN Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Witt boasts a career 12-for-25 record against Twins starter Bailey Ober, with two doubles, two triples, and a home run, and it’s tough to pick against that .480 batting average and 1.320 OPS. He’s seen Ober’s best stuff and jumped all over it.

There’s also Witt Jr.’s five-game hit streak to consider. He started July with 16 hits from his first 10 games, and he’s making a similar surge this month, including four hits in Boston earlier in the week.

The bottom of the Kansas City lineup found some form in the past two games – with five hits from the 7, 8, and 9 holes in both outings – so there should be baserunners for Witt Jr. to work with here.

Strikeouts Thrown
Noah Cameron logo
Noah Cameron u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Projection 4.2 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Noah Cameron is projected to throw 85 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 15th-least on the slate.. Clint Vondrak grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-worst venue in the majors for strikeouts.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Noah Cameron in today's game.
Total RBIs
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense.. Over the past 14 days, Randal Grichuk's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph recently.
Total RBIs
Trevor Larnach logo
Trevor Larnach o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's game.. Trevor Larnach has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90.6-mph.
Total RBIs
Matt Wallner logo
Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Matt Wallner has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16.4% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 14 days.. Matt Wallner's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (23.2° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 19.4° seasonal figure.. Matt Wallner has notched a .420 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 97th percentile.
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kody Clemens is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week, Kody Clemens's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph recently.
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers logo
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average.. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today's game.. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Luke Keaschall is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average.. Luke Keaschall will have the handedness advantage against Noah Cameron today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Luke Keaschall will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today.. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average.. Over the past 14 days, Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.6-mph in recent games.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (33.1) suggests that Salvador Perez has experienced some negative variance this year with his 26.0 actual HR/600.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in MLB.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average.. Over the last 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 112.9-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the majors.. Bobby Witt Jr. has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 20.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 26.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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KC vs MIN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

60% picking Kansas City

60%
40%

Total PicksKC 478, MIN 318

Moneyline
KC
MIN

KC vs MIN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mickey Gasper Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Mickey Gasper
M. Gasper
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Mickey Gasper will hold that advantage in today's game. Mickey Gasper has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .205 rate is a good deal lower than his .250 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mickey Gasper logo

Mickey Gasper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Mickey Gasper will hold that advantage in today's game. Mickey Gasper has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .205 rate is a good deal lower than his .250 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Randal Grichuk
R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Over the past 14 days, Randal Grichuk's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph recently.

Randal Grichuk logo

Randal Grichuk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Over the past 14 days, Randal Grichuk's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph recently.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Edouard Julien
E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Edouard Julien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Edouard Julien's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 105.3-mph of late.

Edouard Julien logo

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Edouard Julien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Edouard Julien's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 105.3-mph of late.

Alan Roden Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Alan Roden
A. Roden
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alan Roden will hold that advantage today. In the past week, Alan Roden's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.3% up to 14.3%.

Alan Roden logo

Alan Roden

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alan Roden will hold that advantage today. In the past week, Alan Roden's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.3% up to 14.3%.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Trevor Larnach
T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's game. Trevor Larnach has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90.6-mph.

Trevor Larnach logo

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's game. Trevor Larnach has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90.6-mph.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Vinnie Pasquantino
V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In the league, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the past week, Vinnie Pasquantino's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 92.9 mph to 90.7 mph. Vinnie Pasquantino's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, going from 41.8% on the season to 16.7% over the last 7 days.

Vinnie Pasquantino logo

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In the league, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the past week, Vinnie Pasquantino's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 92.9 mph to 90.7 mph. Vinnie Pasquantino's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, going from 41.8% on the season to 16.7% over the last 7 days.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

In the league, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today's game. Typically, bats like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Bailey Ober. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Over the last week, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.8% down to 7.1%.

Bobby Witt Jr. logo

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

In the league, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today's game. Typically, bats like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Bailey Ober. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Over the last week, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.8% down to 7.1%.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Kyle Isbel
K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Isbel usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Kyle Isbel logo

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Isbel usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nick Loftin
N. Loftin
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Nick Loftin has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last year's 83.6-mph EV. Nick Loftin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 12.7% to 18%. Nick Loftin's footspeed has increased this year. His 27.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.33 ft/sec now.

Nick Loftin logo

Nick Loftin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Nick Loftin has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last year's 83.6-mph EV. Nick Loftin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 12.7% to 18%. Nick Loftin's footspeed has increased this year. His 27.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.33 ft/sec now.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Bailey Ober will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Maikel Garcia in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Maikel Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .319, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .035 gap between that mark and his actual .354 wOBA.

Maikel Garcia logo

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Bailey Ober will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Maikel Garcia in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Maikel Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .319, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .035 gap between that mark and his actual .354 wOBA.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Brooks Lee
B. Lee
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Brooks Lee will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Brooks Lee has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days. In the past 14 days, Brooks Lee's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph in recent games.

Brooks Lee logo

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Brooks Lee will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Brooks Lee has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days. In the past 14 days, Brooks Lee's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph in recent games.

Luke Keaschall Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Luke Keaschall
L. Keaschall
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Luke Keaschall is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Luke Keaschall will have the handedness advantage against Noah Cameron today.

Luke Keaschall logo

Luke Keaschall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Luke Keaschall is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Luke Keaschall will have the handedness advantage against Noah Cameron today.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ryan Jeffers
R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today's game.

Ryan Jeffers logo

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today's game.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Royce Lewis
R. Lewis
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Royce Lewis is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Royce Lewis will have an edge in today's game.

Royce Lewis logo

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Royce Lewis is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Royce Lewis will have an edge in today's game.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Kody Clemens
K. Clemens
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Kody Clemens is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Kody Clemens's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph recently.

Kody Clemens logo

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kody Clemens is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Kody Clemens's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph recently.

Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Austin Martin
A. Martin
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Austin Martin is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Austin Martin will have the handedness advantage over Noah Cameron in today's matchup.

Austin Martin logo

Austin Martin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Austin Martin is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Austin Martin will have the handedness advantage over Noah Cameron in today's matchup.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jonathan India
J. India
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Despite posting a .300 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonathan India has had bad variance on his side given the .032 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332. In terms of plate discipline, Jonathan India's skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.84 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 76th percentile.

Jonathan India logo

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Despite posting a .300 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonathan India has had bad variance on his side given the .032 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332. In terms of plate discipline, Jonathan India's skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.84 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 76th percentile.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Matt Wallner
M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Matt Wallner has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16.4% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 14 days. Matt Wallner's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (23.2° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 19.4° seasonal figure. Using Statcast metrics, Matt Wallner is in the 75th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .340.

Matt Wallner logo

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Matt Wallner has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16.4% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 14 days. Matt Wallner's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (23.2° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 19.4° seasonal figure. Using Statcast metrics, Matt Wallner is in the 75th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .340.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Over the past 14 days, Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.6-mph in recent games.

Salvador Perez logo

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best field in the game for right-handed batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Over the past 14 days, Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.6-mph in recent games.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today. Adam Frazier has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Last year, Adam Frazier had an average launch angle of 11.9° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.8°.

Adam Frazier logo

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today. Adam Frazier has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Last year, Adam Frazier had an average launch angle of 11.9° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.8°.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Mike Yastrzemski
M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an edge in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Yastrzemski has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Mike Yastrzemski has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last 14 days.

Mike Yastrzemski logo

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an edge in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Yastrzemski has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Mike Yastrzemski has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last 14 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Kansas City Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 DaBoss80 6-4-0 +21380
2 CHEOAPONTE 4-6-0 +19625
3 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +15915
4 DavePaliwoda 6-4-0 +13570
5 Mava5 7-3-0 +13310
6 jerrygora 3-7-0 +12980
7 Brayy_Wyatt 7-3-0 +12595
8 Yellafella59 7-3-0 +12435
9 stakay125 5-5-0 +12285
10 Mexicali72 3-7-0 +12020
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Minnesota Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Midway28 7-3-0 +18635
2 jetfan4340 8-2-0 +17385
3 wickpk 8-2-0 +17345
4 PMaeson 6-4-0 +16840
5 EiffelTower 7-3-0 +16625
6 swtknguy 2-8-0 +16515
7 faustobone 7-3-0 +16100
8 hobo 4-6-0 +15470
9 capt5189 5-4-1 +14360
10 Chrismano 6-4-0 +14322
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