Athletics @ Baltimore props

Nicholas Kurtz has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nicholas Kurtz in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Nicholas Kurtz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.6% down to 0%. Nicholas Kurtz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph dropping to 83.5-mph over the past week. Despite posting a .432 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nicholas Kurtz has been lucky given the .085 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .347.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Max Schuemann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. When it comes to plate discipline, Max Schuemann's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.71 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 85th percentile.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Lawrence Butler will hold the platoon advantage over Tomoyuki Sugano in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Lawrence Butler's 58.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.3%.

Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 14.1% to 9.9%.

Because of J.T. Ginn's large platoon split, Jordan Westburg will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today. Jordan Westburg has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days. Over the last week, Jordan Westburg's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 93.2 mph to 85.8 mph. In the past week's worth of games, Jordan Westburg's 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.3%. Jordan Westburg has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .272 figure is considerably higher than his .256 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Shea Langeliers will be at a disadvantage today. Shea Langeliers pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Shea Langeliers today. Shea Langeliers's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 95.3-mph mark last year has decreased to 91.5-mph. Shea Langeliers's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 91.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 88.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

JJ Bleday is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, JJ Bleday will have an advantage in today's matchup. JJ Bleday hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. JJ Bleday has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Tyler O'Neill has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 18.9% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the past 14 days. Tyler O'Neill has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure. Tyler O'Neill's launch angle recently (32.2° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 24.5° seasonal figure.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field fences are the shallowest. The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Colton Cowser's true offensive skill to be a .327, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .030 gap between that figure and his actual .297 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Gio Urshela has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gio Urshela's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 47.5% to 53.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jackson Holliday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Ginn in today's game... and even better, Ginn has a large platoon split. Jackson Holliday hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coby Mayo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Coby Mayo usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like J.T. Ginn. The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Coby Mayo is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Sacramento (#2-worst on the slate).

Tomoyuki Sugano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brent Rooker in today's matchup. Brent Rooker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brent Rooker in today's game. Brent Rooker's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 86.4-mph in the past 14 days. Over the past 7 days, Brent Rooker's 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17%.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field fences are the shallowest. The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Dylan Carlson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to last season, Dylan Carlson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 10.6% to 16.5% this season.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ryan Noda will hold the platoon advantage against J.T. Ginn today... and moreover, Ginn has a large platoon split. Ryan Noda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ryan Noda will hold that advantage in today's game.

Darell Hernaiz's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Darell Hernaiz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Darell Hernaiz has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.52 ft/sec to 28.92 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) provides evidence that Darell Hernaiz has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .207 actual batting average.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field fences are the shallowest. The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have the upper hand today. With a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Tyler Soderstrom finds himself in the 78th percentile for offensive ability.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). When it comes to plate discipline, Luis Urias's skill is quite good, posting a 1.39 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 90th percentile.

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a 94.2-mph average exit velocity over the last week, Jeremiah Jackson has been in great form recently.

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ryan Mountcastle has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Carlos Cortes has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Carlos Cortes will have an advantage in today's matchup. Carlos Cortes has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, striking balls between -4° and 26° 66.7% of the time over the last two weeks.

Jorge Mateo has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.