Kansas City @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Dustin May will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering May's huge platoon split. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of every team today.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Dustin May will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering May's huge platoon split. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of every team today.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Michael Wacha will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today's matchup. Alex Bregman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days.

The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Because of Dustin May's huge platoon split, Kyle Isbel will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Kyle Isbel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.4-mph over the course of the season to 91.1-mph lately.

The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. John Rave will have the handedness advantage over Dustin May in today's game... and the cherry on top, May has a huge platoon split. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.301) may lead us to conclude that John Rave has been unlucky this year with his .262 actual wOBA.

The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Dustin May in today's game... and moreover, May has a huge platoon split. Last season, Adam Frazier had an average launch angle of 11.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.3°. In the past 14 days, Adam Frazier has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 26.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Romy Gonzalez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Romy Gonzalez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Because of Dustin May's huge platoon split, Vinnie Pasquantino will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Vinnie Pasquantino has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 18.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .194 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Wong has experienced some negative variance given the .102 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296. Placing in the 79th percentile, Connor Wong has notched a .314 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Roman Anthony will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha today. Roman Anthony has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trevor Story has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Masataka Yoshida will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. David Hamilton will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. David Hamilton has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .176 BA is considerably lower than his .209 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's game. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.5°, Ceddanne Rafaela has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.6° angle in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Despite posting a .296 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonathan India has experienced some negative variance given the .035 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331. By putting up a 1.79 K/BB rate this year, Jonathan India has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. In the last week's worth of games, Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 101-mph lately.

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Considering Dustin May's huge platoon split, Mike Yastrzemski will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Mike Yastrzemski's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 18.2%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Wilyer Abreu will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Abraham Toro will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.8°, Abraham Toro has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 28° figure in the last week.

The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Carlos Narvaez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Carlos Narvaez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 97.8-mph in the last week's worth of games.