Houston @ Miami picks

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Graham Pauley will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage in today's game. Graham Pauley's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (23.8° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 12.1° seasonal angle.

Taylor Trammell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.6°, Taylor Trammell has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 43° angle in the past week.

The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Today, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.7% rate (97th percentile). Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (6.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 10.8° mark last season.

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 6th in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #22 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Hitting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Yainer Diaz will have a tough matchup today.

Victor Caratini is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Victor Caratini hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Sporting a .272 batting average this year, Victor Caratini grades out in the 77th percentile.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #22 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Janson Junk will hold the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today's matchup. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup. Over the past week, Jesus Sanchez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.6% up to 17.6%. Jesus Sanchez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 92.3-mph mark.

Liam Hicks is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Liam Hicks's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.4%. When it comes to plate discipline, Liam Hicks's skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 89th percentile.

Jakob Marsee will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today's game. Jakob Marsee will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Jakob Marsee has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power). Jakob Marsee has been hot of late, putting up a 98-mph average exit velocity in the past week's worth of games. Jakob Marsee has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 100% of the time over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 12.1% to 20.2%. Over the past 14 days, Mauricio Dubon's 60.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.9%. Sporting a 1.6 K/BB rate this year, Mauricio Dubon has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Dane Myers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Dane Myers has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last two weeks. Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.2°, Dane Myers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-6.7°) in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Compared to his seasonal average of 17°, Jose Altuve has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.2° angle in the last two weeks. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Jose Altuve has posted a .349 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Jose Altuve has put up a .286 batting average this year, placing in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. In the past week's worth of games, Carlos Correa's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 21.4%. Carlos Correa has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 94.5-mph in the past 14 days.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Christian Walker has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 95.4-mph in the past week's worth of games. Christian Walker has been unlucky this year, notching a .301 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .026 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Otto Lopez's launch angle this year (8.5°) is quite a bit better than his 5.4° mark last season.

In the majors, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 13.5% on the season to 31.8% in the last 14 days. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 38.1% to 46.2%.

Heriberto Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Heriberto Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph of late. Heriberto Hernandez's launch angle of late (45.5° over the past week) is a significant increase over his 12.8° seasonal figure.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage today. Agustin Ramirez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.3% seasonal rate to 20.6% over the past two weeks. Agustin Ramirez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 95.3-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today's game. Kyle Stowers will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. The Barrel% of Kyle Stowers has significantly improved, with an increase from 11% last year to 19.8% this year.

Troy Johnston will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today's matchup. Troy Johnston will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.