New York @ Texas picks

Like seemingly every Yankee these days, Rodon is going through a rough patch. The left-hander has a 4.58 ERA and a 5.18 FIP over his last 10 starts. He's still racking up the strikeouts (58 in 55 IP), but he's also lost his control, with 25 walks over that stretch. That builds up his pitch count quickly and has stayed below 17.5 outs seven times during this 10-game stretch.

Aaron Judge is in a good spot to hit the ground running as he tries to get back into rhythm after a week on the IL. Jack Leiter throws a ton of fastballs and sliders to righties, both of which Judge dominates against. He is hitting .341 with 10 homers against the fastball while posting a still impressive .311 average vs. sliders. Leiter has also had a much harder time slowing down right-handed bats. He’s allowed a 1.47 WHIP vs. righties compared to 1.17 against lefties.

On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's game.. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (21.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.9° figure last year.. Austin Wells's launch angle lately (38.5° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably higher than his 21.4° seasonal figure.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) may lead us to conclude that Austin Wells has had bad variance on his side this year with his .209 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Leiter in today's matchup.. Ben Rice has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 16.7% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

When assessing his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's game.. Trent Grisham has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14.8% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past week's worth of games.

Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Despite posting a .350 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has been unlucky given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .378.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today's game.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10% rate last season to 19% this year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Marcus Semien will have an edge in today's game.. Among every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Aaron Judge's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (22.3°) is considerably higher than his 19.3° mark last year.. Aaron Judge's 26.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) is in the 100th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's game.. Cody Bellinger's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (22.9° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 16° seasonal mark.

As it relates to his home run ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Adolis Garcia will have an edge in today's game.. Among every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's game.